Economic Doop Loop UK15 Oct 2025 10:56
British living standards are poised to improve at the slowest rate in the G7, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
In a blow to Sir Keir Starmerâs pledge to raise living standards across the UK, the IMF warned that higher inflation and a weak economy meant real growth per person would be just 0.5pc in 2026.
That compares with 1.8pc in the US and 1.2pc in Japan. The eurozone will also outpace Britain, with growth in GDP per head of 0.9pc.
Just weeks before Rachel Reeves delivers another tax-raising budget, senior officials at both the IMF and the Bank of England issued a series of warnings about the UK economy.
Alan Taylor, a senior Bank of England official, said the economy was in danger of recession. He warned the risk was now of a âmore forceful downturn, where recession dynamics start to kick in that can be very difficult to contain or even reverse.â
Official figures published on Tuesday showed that unemployment jumped to a four-year high of 4.8pc in the three months to August.
Andrew Bailey, the Bank of England Governor, said fears about the âsofteningâ labour market were being increasingly raised by businesses across the country. He added that weak productivity growth had in effect created a âspeed limitâ for the British economy that would need to be kept in check by higher interest rates.
On Tuesday night, the IMF urged Ms Reeves to come up with a credible plan to reduce debt and grow the economy or face the prospect of investors dumping Britainâs debt.
Athanasios Vamvakdis, a deputy director at the IMF, said: âClearly the markets are concerned about the UK economy. We have seen more volatility in the UK compared to other advanced economies recently.â
âThe market is asking for more details on the fiscal plans in the UK. So yields as a result are higher in the UK compared to other advanced economies.â
Thanks Labour đ The banks in turn will suffer.