The Future of BT29 Aug 2018 17:06
OK so i hold £4k in BT and like most here are awaiting its recovery. The future of the company is currently on hold until a new CEO appears and then the following things will probably occur.
1) The dividend will be reduced, hopefully not below 5% but the company has several large financial commitments not limited to just pensions & debt that makes most people eyes water. They are currently manageable however this is based on earning stagnating or increasing. As landlines become a thing of past revenue will only reduce unless new streams are tapped.
2) Landlines, currently they are a necessity to have broadband but with the event of fire not any more. This is only going to increase and therefor reduce income as people rely on mobiles and will do away with landlines, elderly excluded, in which case why stay with BT at all?
3) New CEO, first on my agenda would be, do i wish to be an entertainment company that does phones or a phone company that does entertainment. I seriously doubt BT has the money to continue in this farce for Football rights. Ditch it or back it, i prefer to ditch. Why not follow the Virgin Media model and sell freeview to the masses for profit through the internet? Bundle EE with BT and try to amalgamate the two, to provide all the needs in one place
4) Offcom, Openreach and BT. Openreach is the cash machine of this business and if its separated or sold off, it wont be with the pension liabilities and BT will be a debt ridden corpse ready for DK to buy on the cheap. Anyone calling for this is a fricking idiot. Keep Offcom on side by installing new fibre everywhere and use the dividend money to pay off the dept mountain.
5) With the completion of EE streamlining posiitons within EE and BT need to come faster in order to save more money, same call centre, same back ground IT, same resources to save cash.
6) Pensions, this needs to be resolves NOW, close the expensive schemes and replace with far cheaper options, If the staff dont like it go work for Virgin media, headcount needs to reduce anyhow.
I see the share price rising to £3 by Q3 of 2019 assuming the CEO sorts all of the items above out. If not then DT will probably buy the company once the golden handcuff deal of EE expires sometime in 2019
Discuss....
Fusion98