Member Info for FunInvestor

NHC move over last couple weeks certainly been interesting.
Also interesting how easily they have significantly reduced.

Think the "burn the shorts" is well and truly burnt as a notion.

Hussart, Don't you remember B(ull S(hit) 2020(million).

He had more shares than Jhango (in his fantasy head).

World has fantasists, they are everywhere living amongst us.

shazabo, the (latest) recorded deduction was for yesterday though.
Let's see if there was any action of note today.
We should see that close play tomorrow if it is from significant shorts.

That's one of the issues us little p.i.'s face. We are always behind the curve on what's causing days move.

NHC bought more again yesterday I see.
Almost seems with the c.2.5% they had shorted they have been able to make the price whatever they want last couple weeks.

Let's see end of tomorrow if any significant change with shorts after today's feast for those with power to play SP 10 - 20% whenever they fancy.

Could easily be NHC making quick buck re:shorting those shares they bought cheaper.
Wouldn't be first time shorts played it and got nice easy 10 - 20% in quick time.

NHC continued their profit taking Friday with another easy reduction in their position.
Done to 1.5% on Friday (further again today? Let's see tomorrow).

I guess it depends on what we consider "a nice picture"
For the industry to reach even 80% (still below Cineworld base case) for the year as a whole we now need remaining 5 months to run at c. 96.7% of 2019 comparitives.
I think most would agree that it is unlikely August or September will hit that.
Therefore looking at Oct - December achieving 100% + to still fall c. 5 % below this particular companies "base case".

Not doomsaying or ramping.
There is recovery and last 3 months been good.
I don't expect next 2 will do as well when even compared to their normal lower levels.
Will be delighted if we do see box office over perform and anything around July total for August and September combined I feel will be "a win".

A penny a day SP rise can continue for next 100 days if it wants ;-)

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/heres-cineworld-group-plcs-lon-054356635.html

RS2002,
I assume you are merely confirming how slow/weak August is there!?

Zero by way of big movies and zero depth.

Cruis, that would make no sense for them.
These are quiet months. As said holiday season and a period studios largely avoid as audience levels down.
Gives us some stuff to look forward to and hopefully they are by then backed up by depth as studios been able to get more filming.

Cruis, Avatar re release last week September could bring some much needed $'s.
October has less still releases at this point than August or September.
Halloween is about all we have until tail end of month and Black Adam.
We can only wait and see how it plays out and then hopefully look back on a much improved year over all.

Avatar 2 should ensure 2023 gets off to a strong start also.

Forecast here:
https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-the-invitation/

bullsbears,
YES I would say August line up really is that poor.
Nope has already had 10 days so biggest chunk of its earnings blanked.
DC Superpets had its opening weekend and that has fallen on lower end.
The revenues for movies (largely speaking) is VERY heavily skewed first weekend, first week, first two weeks. Then it's dribs and drabs by comparison.
There's no single $100m + opening weekend type movies.
There is not even many wide releases.
In the UK at least we seem to be trying to fill some of these huge gaps with stuff like Robocop 35 year re release.
There is Star Trek and director of Nope couple of his other films getting another showing.
Unlimited members are being rewarded every visit in August.
Company knows it needs to find ways to encourage every individual visit it can next couple monrhs as it doesn't have the big fresh new content.

Cruis I really don't know. Think it's still a heavily impacted box office with the real big movies.
As you say other than Bullet Train (which I dont even consider as a real biggy) there is next to nothing and it's same again next month.

On plus side we app we appear to have a handful of films with some carry over strength into first week or so of month hopefully.
What I said the other day I stick by, if we see a lot more tha. HALF this months total each of next two months I will be very pleased.
Is there enough to see March/April type revenues!?

With the movie slate and it being peak holidays season I am not so sure, but happy to be proven very wrong.

None of it matters compared to that out of court deal anyway ;-)

Yip c. 88% comparable.

January 4th SP closed 32.68p
January 5th SP high 41.77p

Or March 8th SP close 29.94
March 14th high 37.83 onto March 17th high 39.7p

All been seen before more than once or twice and many many times of the back of NOTHING.

Sometimes without doubt shorts played the price, small p.i.s got excited paid too much and then in following days/weeks so fell.

Try to be realistic: a total random nobody on a random chat board knows highly confidential information and posts for other randoms before any reliable source.

Sure that's likely......

We are down 80% from 124p.
My jets will remain cool for now.
Been there heard this FAR too many times over last 2 years.

It's probably Jordan ;-)

It's been a little while since we have had a thread take over and folks discussing something that's absolute carp.

Fools gold.
On the 0.0000000001% chance there is an iota of truth to it we can put a deposit down on the garribaldies start next week.

Until there is an RNS or a SP with £ in front of it I will hold my spending big.

If August does significantly more than HALF of this month then I got one will be pretty happy.
Let's be honest with ourselves on the relative expectations of movies released last few months to next couple months.