A bit of History and Insight Courtesy of FB3 Apr 2023 14:14
"There is no doubt that Anglo American rates Arc's Zambian concessions highly." says broker WH Ireland.
Herein lies an interesting question... why would Anglo American (AA) reclaim its own previous JV (ZJV) ranked targets in Zambia 20 years later?
AA's long awaited return back to Zambia is much about politics as it is about mining in 2023...as touched upon Friday by NvS (same from Duncan during Indaba 2023)
Nick von Schirnding (NvS): "I am very pleased that we have continued to make good progress in the negotiation of a transaction with Anglo American in respect of the proposed Joint Venture. We are also pleased with the progressive reforms being undertaken by President Hakainde Hichilema's administration and the Ministry of Mines. I look forward to moving swiftly to signing all the final agreements and to updating shareholders shortly."
An emotive subject most investors would tend to shy away from, nevertheless it deserves a brief mention to establish the credibility of this deal reaching its ultimate goal of success for us LTH's... from the top down politically!
In August 2021 the hopes for a new Zambia was realised with a 59% majority win for the United Party for National Development (UPND) under its leader Hakainde Hichilema (HH). After having contested five previous elections in 2006, 2008, 2011, 2015 and 2016 against the Patriotic Front (PF) and it's ex-leader Edgar Lungu (since 2015).
In recent years, Zambia has experienced a fall from investor grace under the leadership of Edgar Lungu. With Lungu's government, sanctioned plundering of gold and copper assets became the norm. Fronted by Cartel intimidation against local communities and working with certain tribal chiefs to outmanoeuvre the rights of local villagers... all prescribing under the protection banner of "resource nationalism*".
Renowned economist, Professor Oliver Saasa stated in an October 2021 interview: "the apparent trend towards resource nationalism that had been undertaken has its roots in a lack of understanding of the intricacies of business. Narratives like this typically appeal to a misinformed public, for cheap political gains and popularity... a failure to use knowledge and best practices to inform policy also fuelled this."
*Strategy Mushinge undertook against Arc in 2021 FFS!
In his address to Parliament, the Minister of Mines stated that: "the Government has been consulting with key stakeholders to review the mining tax policy framework in order to design and develop a fiscal tax regime for the sector that will be stable, predictable and competitive to ensure sustained investment in the sector. This will also attract both local and foreign investment in mining and ultimately, scale up mineral production in the country."
Who are the stakeholders?
The Brenthurst Foundation (BHF) and its Generations Foundation... together with certain fellows within the Chatham House circles are the stakeholders behind this wider South Africa (SA) move. AA via BHF have been