RE: For what it's worth, here's my take on things.11 Mar 2023 11:45
A bit of sober reflection on the state of play.
1. FCA role is to ensure the highest compensation pay-out that they can for creditors and as we know from past behaviour, creditors will vote for the most they can get. 6M in the pot is therefore better than zero and may well get FCA support. I believe that a creditor committee will be enough to approve this on behalf of creditors, rather than the full shooting match as previous? Thoughts on that?
2: 21M + 6M is still a base to grow from, but the lower base and market conditions will make this a much longer term play if indeed the business survives. The 10-11M convertible bonds are issued when there is no basis for a valuation so like the investors, existing shareholders can't really know what the value of the business and the sentiment will be like if they go back to court for amendments. We can start to make an educated guess that around 30M + a growing book of business could bring this back to about 4-5 times existing share price.
3: I think the risk and reward here will probably see the SP drop further maybe to 1.5p but at that point its worth a risk! I may top up again if it falls to that level. Otherwise I'll top draw/take up my options for the long haul or set up my own sub-prime solution on the other side. AKA going around Bootle with a shot-gun:-))