RE: Redcloud research note27 May 2025 09:57
Agree, it's not a negative at all. But there's a method and structure to Franco & Osisko's finance deal for $100m and it's based around teh agreed list of works required to derisk the project ahead of or before decisions can be made on the final investment decision which involved the remaing $650m+ package.
SOLG do not have $25m within that Franco agreed package. So if that is required sooner than originally planned, then it will be a bit chicken before egg stuff and considering they haven't even finished what was required based on tranche 1... it's looking more likely that they'll be short of cash going forwards especially with $10m of the recent $18m raised going direct to regional licence payments and Tandy drilling. That would leave about $10m at best starting from April 1st. They still have 26% of phase 1 works to complete. And with SOLG you can bet they've done some creative accounting to get that March 31st balance looking solvent prior to the $18m raise.
All in all, one thing is advancing and accelerating Cascabel which is good news but another thing is doing it in a way that delivers a poor return for shareholders. Bob's Fast and smart turned out to be slow and stupid. Now they look like going fast and stupid. I don't think they have a clue. I think they are skilled guys at going into countries that no one likes and getting acreage / licence deals done. I think Mather and team were good at getting exploration done. But neither are very good at 'Tier1 operational' or 'Tier1 developement' projects. At least Darryl had a CV that proved to the market that someone knew what they were doing.
On a side note, I see LSE's highly state of the art trading system seems to be struggling with the bank holiday post day trading. Shambles of an index.