Zen1 Jun 2022 13:52
We should be thinking about why AC bought 39m shares on the 31st January 2022. We know Tilapia couldn't happen for 30 day's after the purchase because that would have been seen as insider trading. So, he obviously bought them because he knew it was going to happen later in the year. Covid stagnated the approval proses for well over a year. Add this to the standard time usual for Licence approval in Africa - 9 to 18 months, and we find ourselves right in the middle of the optimum period for this to happen.
I think it's also worth noting the money raised by various means throughout the year has gone toward building an income that presently brings in approximately $6.4m from the last oil lifting and $5.7m expected from the next June lifting at $110 per barrel, plus £2.5m from the Italian gas to electricity generation. Also noting these figures are not full year, so could be slightly more. You could also add our 56% stake in the 30 barrels a day from the already producing Tilapia - $600,000 for the year. However, I'm not quite sure whether we are entitled if we do not possess an operators licence. We could ascertain ownership from the payment of $128,000 we received for the same oil, from a subsidiary of SNPC last year. Either way we are in a pretty good position The market cap of £15M, according to LSE, does seem a little harsh, but the market works on substantiated figures and we are not quite in that realm of safety, yet.
Unfortunately we have missed the input of these audited figures in the upcoming final results expected before the end of August (overdue last year), hoping for mid July this year, for the year ending 31st March 2022. So we are going to have to wait a further six months for a concise price advance to the next level based upon our yearly financials.
Waiting now for the production figures later this month from the worked over Rob-1, rig deployment for Rob-3, rig contracts for Ezzaouia side tracks, approval for the KUFPEC deal and most importantly, Tilapia. IMHO DYOR