RE: VMP15 Aug 2014 09:09
Coms is in a position not too disimilar to QPP. It had an aggressive acquisition period and is now going through the process of proving cashflow for the future.
During acquisitions it is easy to build momentum and hype, because PIs love to bet on the price a share could be at when the next deal hits. However once that is over it can become very mundane and so the air is let out of the share price.
Coms was share of the year 2013, particularly after a big conteact win with Mitie, which led to a massive spike in January as interest grew.
Expectation about end of year results was also huge, because with the regular updates.about contract wins and all the acquisitions, it was expected that turnover would massively exceed previous guidance. This was particularly aided by DB saying the figures would be 'mahoosive'. In reality they were, as coms was profitable well before most market expectations, however.the.share price was so inflated that the predictable.fall on red dot occured. This was also exacerbated because after the 'mahoosive' comment there was a large surge in the share price which forced.Coms to release an rns saying they knew np reason for the.share price.change.
Finally, rumours about a placing (somewhat out of the blue) ahead of time to fund an acquisition surfaced, which.turned out to be true. This led to a lot of negative sentiment, not least because at 6p it was a significant discount to the SP at the time, albeit a not unfair one to the fundamentals of the.company.
Since then coms has been cleaning house. The suspension due to a reporting error was unfortunate, but I dont.believe it has made any significant difference.
Coms is now a cash positive small company in an emerging market, based in a country well suited (because of very well developed broadband and 3g/4g) to producing demand. Once it has tidied up all the overlaps from acquisition efficiencies it will inceease profit with no additional business. Add new.clients as it grows and it is.clearly well placed for the 3-5 year investment.
Opinion seems to suggest that it will be a.favourite for takeover in a few years. Its not a new idea, it would be hard to believe that a larger player, particularly in the business market, wouldnt take over something like coms once someone else has done the work to make it efficient and profitable.
I was in at 4.6 to 12p, sold out at 8p on the way down. I plan to rebuy after NEXT years full year results, assuming figures are within expectations.