Analyst Comment13 Jul 2021 11:05
Zephyr Energy (ZPHR LN): Appraisal drilling commenced, Paradox Basin, US
Share Price: 5.7p, Market Cap: £74.4m
• Zephyr has announced the commencement of drilling operations on the State 16-2LN-CC appraisal well, ahead of the Company's month-end target date.
• Over the last week, the rig was mobilised to the well site where it was subsequently assembled and tested. #
• In addition, all necessary ancillary service providers arrived on site to support drilling operations.
• Drilling is expected to take approximately 20 days.
• The primary objective of the State 16-2LN-CC well is to test the natural fracture play in the Cane Creek reservoir - with a goal to deliver the Company's first production from the Paradox project.
• A second key objective is to gather additional data from the eight high-graded reservoirs overlying the Cane Creek to help determine the potential of these reservoirs, should operational conditions allow.
• Over the last year, Zephyr has worked closely with a project team led by the University of Utah's Energy & Geoscience Institute (EGI), in collaboration with the Utah Geological Survey (UGS) and other Utah-based partners.
• The analysis of the Paradox Basin is sponsored by the US Department of Energy and its National Energy Technology Laboratory, and in 2020 the group provided US$2m to assist with drilling and data acquisition costs related to Zephyr's State 16-2 "dual-use" well which was completed in January 2021.
• Today, Zephyr has confirmed that EGI has agreed to fund additional data acquisition efforts, specifically including the funding of Dipole Sonic logs to be deployed during the drilling operations of the State 16-2LN-CC well.
• This additional funding and continued collaboration will be useful to help both the Company and the Project Team further define the potential of the overlying reservoirs.
Our take: Zephyr will now shortly try to repeat the drilling success of last winter through this latest well in the Paradox Basin. The State 16-2LN-CC (lateral well), will target the Company's first production on the Paradox project. Using a flat oil price of US$70/boe, the Company estimates that the lateral well has a 2C single-well NPV10 of US$10.4m. Using the same flat oil price of US$70/boe, the prime reservoir target on its lease holding - the Cane Creek reservoir - has estimated 2C resources with an NPV10 of US$225m.