RE: Day Dreaming9 Jan 2024 10:04
The NAV is a combination of declared values. Property values are reviewed annually on a 1/3 of the estate on a rolling basis. Many of the fixtures/fittings/machinery is valued at cost with a determined annual write-down. Intangibles are included as an asset ( £32.9m).This is very questionable as it includes Goodwill which is not a number easily valued ( it could be worth nothing , it depends much on what the market considers a true value. Liabilities are well documented and cannot be disputed.
Total Liabilties at yr end amounted to £1814.3m.
Total assets £2454m.
My word "opaque" seems to have been interpreted as " misreported".....Wrong. To further qualify my " opaque" statement, the accounts disclose an Impairment in respect of leases of £4.9m. The Brains estate is 100% Leased. It is therefore reasonable to conclude some of this Impairment relates to Brains, even though not split out, hence "opaque" .
Comment regarding the rationale put out by RF in respect of the PLatinum offer, should be considered alongside events taking place at the time. RF was negotiating the deal with Brains. John Rhys ( Brain's CEO) was under significant pressure from Banks to reduce debt, consequently a deal was hastily arranged. Meanwhile the PLatinum offers were kept in the background. The Platinum offer was reasonable and in the opinion of some here could have been improved. That offer now seems to have been far better than anything likely to materialise now. It should be noted both Ralph Findlay and John Rhys resigned their roles shortly after the agreement with Brains completed.
Within 12months, Brains placed it's Freeholds for sale.
Now examine the prediction of a 70p T/O. A predator will want around a 20% profit on INvestment.
To achieve 70p an asset-stripper will need funds around £2454m ( £1815 to clear debts and £443m to compensate SH's)
Capital Markets currently offer 6+% . It's a no Brainer, a predator can achieve a fair return just leaving money on deposit and no uncertainty with the value of an asset where values are questioned. A predator may be interested given the uncertainties, if value is closer to 40+p.
The External Auditors report requires scrutiny.
They comment on several areas " the valuation of Freehold Land and properties has a high degree of estimation uncertainty"