Research Note2 Feb 2016 20:07
If you set up an account with Progressive Equity Research (it's painless) you can access their latest Distil research note, dated last Thursday, here.
http://www.progressive-research.com/tearsheet/research/distil-plc/distil-happy-christmas-trading
Forecast revisions from PER note follow.
We have made some forecast revisions to reflect both the stronger turnover growth and the increased investment in brand marketing in the current year. The net result of this sees in effect no change in our forecast for a small PBT loss of £0.10m. We have raised the projected turnover growth for FY16 from 50% to 75%, given the continuation of sales momentum reported in Q3.
In light of this momentum, and with some brands re-listed in the US, as well as the extended coverage within the UK supermarket sector, we have increased the projected rate of turnover growth for Distil from 15% to 20% in both FY17 and FY18. We believe that marketing costs will continue to rise in support of brand development and obtaining new listings.
There should however be a small degree of operational leverage with regard to other operating costs, such that operating margins and PBT levels do show some increase from our previous forecasts. Our last published Fully Adjusted PBT forecasts move across our three-year forecast horizon from (£0.10m), £0.03m and £0.07m to (£0.10m), £0.06m and £0.16m for FY16, FY17 and FY18 respectively.
Our new forecasts, along with some key operating metrics, are shown in the following table of Summary Financial Information.