RE: NT to buy at 0.03p21 Oct 2025 13:54
The potential here is far higher than a 3x upside.
If our farm-out agreements receive final approval, the company will receive an immediate cash injection of roughly US $4.4 million, with a further US $15 million to fund the Thali work programme in Cameroon. Meaning the wells could be fully derisked if a commercial spud is achieved.
A separate US $2.5 million payment relates to the Namibia PEL96 licence.
Cash alone from the deal would therefore equate to around 35–40 percent of the entire company’s market value, while the full US $17.5 million funding package (cash plus work programme costs) exceeds the current market cap.
According to Trps June 2024 corporate presentation, the base-case post-tax NPV10 for the Njonji development (Thali licence) is approximately US $300 million at a Brent oil price of US $75 per barrel, assuming an initial production rate of 6,000 to 10,000 bbl/d. Following the 42.5 percent farmout, TRP will retain 57.5 percent of the licence. On that basis, Trp share of the NPV is roughly US $172 million (57.5 % * US $300 m).
If we apply a substantial risk discount — say 60 percent to reflect exploration, regulatory, and execution uncertainty — the risked NPV would be about US $70 million, equivalent to roughly £55 million at current exchange rates. Even at a more conservative 75 percent risk discount, Tower’s implied value would still be near £30–35 million, which is roughly three to six times higher than its present market capitalisation.
This is just looking at our cameroon asset not factoring in SA and namibia.
The upside is massive here the only big caveat is when/whether our approvals finally recieve presidential sign off