RE: 0.10p 1st stop...3 Feb 2026 09:37
Hi Casper,
Some people might think your being hopeful here but just a reminder on the beast we have here and why thats achieveable:
If our farm-out agreements receive final approval, the company will receive an immediate cash injection of roughly US $4.4 million, with a further US $15 million to fund the Thali work programme in Cameroon.
A separate US $2.5 million payment relates to the Namibia PEL96 licence.
Cash alone from the deal would therefore equate to around 35–40 percent of the entire company’s market value, while the full US $17.5 million funding package (cash plus work programme costs) exceeds the current market cap.
According to Trps June 2024 corporate presentation, the base-case post-tax NPV10 for the Njonji development (Thali licence) is approximately US $300 million at a Brent oil price of US $75 per barrel, assuming an initial production rate of 6,000 to 10,000 bbl/d. Following the 42.5 percent farmout, TRP will retain 57.5 percent of the licence. On that basis, Trp share of the NPV is roughly US $172 million (57.5 % * US $300 m).
If we apply a substantial risk discount — say 60 percent to reflect exploration, regulatory, and execution uncertainty, the risked NPV would be about US $70 million, equivalent to roughly £55 million at current exchange rates. Even at a more conservative 75 percent risk discount, Tower’s implied value would still be near £30–35 million.
BTW this is just looking at our cameroon asset not factoring in SA and namibia.