RE: Ecuador26 Aug 2020 17:25
I agree with your thoughts overall, foxm.
Were we to finally crack this project, I anticipate a pilot and/or commercial trial, then probably a phased commercial rollout; the modularity of MSAR is a strength of the technology from the client's perspective in terms of risk mitigation. But, it does mean that we wouldn't get a day 1 'mega rollout' (not a big deal, really).
More energy is required at the refinery for heat and steam than for electricity. So, if we were to achieve a full rollout (not guaranteed!), I guess a couple of MMUs would be required just for non-electrical refinery energy. Plus standby capacity. That will happen over a period of time, so .
Termoesmeraldas I is quite an old power station, so it is probably quite a bit less efficient than modern combined cycle systems like Shoaiba (I notice they are tendering for repairs/maintenance at the moment, BTW).
Termoesmeraldas II is quite interesting because it's a large number of smaller units, which may make it more amenable to phased rollouts, if they decide to go down that route.
The economic, technical, and environmental aspects look clear-cut; the political aspects are murkier, obviously.