RE: SOME GOOD POSTS23 Apr 2024 05:27
Hi Prof and all LTH
I feel very much as you do.There are many pluses but there are minuses which you have listed
I agree with you about risks of doing business in African countries .I believe Zambia have a stable pro business government but that South Africa under it's ANC government is a failed state which hopefully if the population wakes up to the corruption will change next month but I am not that optimistic. However both country's have a common goal which is to create jobs and earn foreign currency and they need Jubilee as much as Jubilee needs them.
After all Jubilee will be responsible for doing both but in addition is performing a clean up job in both countries which is much needed so I dismiss any problems relating to location. I have taken the view that sanity by both governments will prevail.
So we are back to prices of key metals and the ability by Jubilee to produce copper as promised.
Having been in the chrome business I agree that chrome prices are unpredictable but with China and India needing a huge amount of stainless steel the prices should at least stay constant for a while. Of course I hope that Leon can increase profit margins Jubilee will be getting on chrome and history to date seems to suggest he can.
I am more positive than negative on copper which will be needed world wide and I have little doubt that copper prices are more likely to go up than down, and furthermore I believe with PGM'S prices are more likely to recover than to retreat .So we are back to my main concern which is can Jubilee produce copper as promised..All I can say about this is on evidence to date,with the new J/V and Slater increasing his holding in the company copper is likely to become the biggest producer of revenue by year end 2025.
As you can see I am bullish on future prospects for Jubilee.