inferences29 Aug 2019 11:38
Can anything be inferred from the rig mobilization? Yes i believe so, would block move forward if they did not believe they could get a result from WR38? After everything that has happened they must be confident that they can, the storm around 16az has been raging for more than 2 months and the share price has been hammered, it would be crazy for them to move forward if they were not confident of doing a better job than 16az. 16Az has been in production nearly 50 days now and was increasing according to the Chairman ( who probably did not enjoy being put in front of the cameras and having to state his credentials like his first job interview). So lessons on both PR and well performance must have been learnt, progress on the Gas deal and the amount of oil stored to sell both further advanced. On the oil storage 5000 tonnes should take circa 122 days at 300 bopd, 1 tonne = circa 7.33 us barrels from google. At Brent - $9, that's $5,500,000 per year before government adjustments and overheads. Is that so bad before gas, a few extra bopd from 16az, and at least one extra well producing before the end of the year? I have not read anybody hazard a guess as to where 16az will end up at. Does anybody have knowledge on what step increments to the flow rate the company might attempt? Would you step in increments of 10, 25, 50 barrels a day? On what time frame? Every week? 10 days? If anybody has knowledge that would be interesting to know. Thanks