RE: Very bullish.....6 Oct 2023 13:03
Joe
we are currently drilling 11.7mmbbls net to the company, although they are hoping to increase the oil in place numbers
there is 3 valuations to look at
1) in the ground value, this is used at exploration stage $3 per barrel
11.7mmbbls x $3.7 = $43.29m mkt cap / Β£35m
currently Β£7m mkt cap
2) on announcement of discovery
$6 per bbl
11.7mmbbls x $6 = $70.2m mkt cap / Β£56m
currently Β£7m mkt cap
3) successflow flow test
$10 per bbl
11.7mmbbl x $10 = $117m mkt cap / Β£93m mkt cap
currently Β£7m
now we are drilling into a historic oil field, so its not exploration ... more appraisal well
TD est around 850m, thats where the OWC is.
based on the timelines to date, one can speculate the well is being drilled and tested before any news (shouldnt take very long to drill to 850m onshore)
We are not the operator so our hands are tied, but maybe an update next week
according to CRCL website, results in October from this initial well
https://www.corcelplc.com/project/onshore-kwanza-basin/
Also July presentation, timeline suggest drilling through to year end, we know there are further wells planned, probably horizontal drilling, to ramp up production again referring to timeline, first oil Q2 next year
https://www.corcelplc.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/20230706_CRCL_PPT_FIN.pdf
In Angola alone, we have c315mmbbls net resources to explore
that's before we here on Brazil, lots of opportunities under review