RE: PRAX has to pay much more upfront.26 Apr 2023 14:49
Has this previously posted contribution caused concern with HURR BoD and PRAX.
I do wonder if PRAX have the financial clout to carry this through.
It is speculation on my part, but I have this nagging feeling that the organisation may be built on sandy financial foundations, with one opportunist deal financing the next - the finance being provided by the "underlying" assets of previous deals. This is not organic growth within the company, but one where the strategy is to continue expansion by acquisition in order to maintain an “illusion” of sustainable growth.
The media have reported that PRAX is a $10 Billion crude oil empire, grown by a married couple from a flat in Surrey. The Guardian reported, last year, that the company’s profits have soared almost tenfold between 2010 and 2020! It has to be acknowledged, that on the face of it, it is an extraordinary achievement.
The media report also stated that “It is alleged that with large profits have come at a borrowing cost, however The Times says Prax’s borrowing facility has expanded to £739 million as a buffer against high oil and gas prices in an uncertain market.”
The report continued “Information on how this flat-based business grew into the colossus it is today is somewhat sp a r se, prompting questions over whether a closer scrutiny is required…”
I speculate, but why would PRAX not increase the offer, given the opposition to it, if they were of substance?
They want to use only £16.5million of their own funds (it was reported they had a £739million buffer in October 2022) to implement the Scheme, the balance of £104million coming from HURR own shareholders assets!
Possibly they don't have further funds (they purchased the Humberside based Lindsey Oil refinery as recently as March 2021 from the French oil company Total).
Any future payments are speculative, and I wonder, if CA would have agreed to this had their major shareholder not required liquidation of the fund. Perhaps CA can justify to their other shareholders that the first guaranteed payment will cover the cost, expense and hassle of their HURR investment, and consider any future speculative payments as a bonus. How CA will collect / pay these to their shareholders, once the fund is liquidated, will be of interest.
I also find it strange that a continental organisation makes an investment on receiving speculative future payments from a UK based private company, when the more knowledgeable UK investors do not.
Is the long game, for more knowledgeable investors, to await collapse of the deal then for someone to make a move?
Keep the pressure up I doubt that the Scheme (robbery) will now succeed.
I am reminded of that old Chinese curse “may you live in interesting times.”