Another view about China Gas...23 May 2014 18:48
HONG KONG — Petrochina, the country’s biggest oil and gas producer, stands to win from Russia’s $400bn deal to supply natural gas to China as it will provide gas at a price lower than expected.
A steady source of Russian gas will help China meet growing demand at a time when it is struggling to exploit its own natural gas reserves, said a note from Morena Skalamera, a research fellow at Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Centre for Science and International Affairs.
"The deal is an economic game changer as PetroChina lands an attractive gas deal at a price that carries a 10% discount to what EU countries are paying, and a 40% discount to current LNG prices," said Gordon Kwan, oil and gas research head at Nomura International Hong Kong. PetroChina runs most of parent company China National Petroleum’s pipeline, refining and marketing.
"This could potentially lift Petro China’s earnings per share estimate by about 10%, once gas sales start in 2018 or 2019," Mr Kwan said.
China-based natural gas distributors such as China Gas Holdings and Beijing Enterprises Holdings also stand to gain as their profits are linked to gas sales.
China Gas, which supplies natural gas to 208 cities in Asia’s biggest economy, has gained 76% in the past year as air pollution in cities including Beijing and Tianjin exceeded hazardous levels several times last year, prompting measures to curb burning of coal and encourage natural gas use.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch raised China Gas to buy from neutral today, saying the Russia natural gas deal will improve the company’s gas sales after northeastern China begins to receive new supply from 2018.
"The Russian gas deal is positive across the board for natural gas distributors in China, as increased supplies and relatively modest import prices will bring every player extra earnings down the road," said Shi Yan, a UOB analyst in Shanghai.
http://www.bdlive.co.za/world/asia/2014/05/23/chinese-companies-will-profit-from-the-transaction