Negotiations8 Apr 2026 09:52
Good to see a positive reaction in the markets, some great swing, day trading opportunities with BARC being onE of the biggest swing trades around. Lets hope for the worlds sake the talks do not break down and negotiations are completed for the best possible outcome.
The things Iran is very likely to want are, regime survival, this will be top priority. Some level of nuclear capability and the ability to maintain regional influence, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, etc, therefore they’re not going to just “throw in the towel.”
They will no doubt want certain things guaranteed with any deal, such as, sanctions lifted as this is huge for their economy, access to global banking & oil markets and security guarantees that no attempt at regime change. Iran may compromise limits on nuclear enrichment levels, inspections, to some degree and possibly a slowing, but not, eliminating their nuclear programme.
The core problem is that both the US and Iran want things first, Iran wants sanctions lifted first, the US wants nuclear limits first and neither trusts the other to go first.
I don’t see a clean Peace Deal here at best I see a managed standoff. Iran has taken a beaten and compensation will be on the cards, but we probably won’t read about that unless Trump decides he can use this as some sort if humanitarian play. The US is dealing with a regime that cannot be allowed to have any nuclear capabilities.
Enjoy the rise and obviously from a TA point of view it looks more positive, price above the 20, 200 and at one point breach 50MA on the daily. The possibility of a 20MA / 200MA crossover looking good. Although the DOW daily looks very similar there is still a possibility of a 50MA 200MA cross over, Death Cross, Bearish, suggesting that short-term selling pressure is overpowering long-term demand, therefore still the potential for a downward trend.
Good luck
DYOR
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