Member Info for dai2belts

For comparison, Serenity 1 Spud Oct 4th, given TD date 23rd(.Gov site), I3e announced TD with Results RNS 29th 7am
So 25 days to results, that would be a week Monday
On a duster what do you estimate bottom sp ? , I will need that to get some cash back :(

Cheers Troajan, I thought they maybe narrow...
Will have a read of the others, especially Mafi, will help build my knowledge for when inflation starts to fall, and the dollar peaks, and those complicated bonds do something...

So Kev, not being greedy, just 10% cost you. lol
Same here, So many times it bounced before my by price, so I jumped when my price was hit, 2.6p... Bloooody TA resistance levels, all HOC...
So sitting tight at the moment, I3e seem convinced about 5270ft....

As for TD timings, all 3 previous well hit TD in 19/20 days, according to Gov data yet 30 days is given, and application for sidetrack estimates 49 days in total, but I expect thats slowester case...
But, for the data related to the 3 wells, time to TD, I am now not sure of the accuracy, after some digging today.
There is an option to see a graphical representation of the well & side-tracks, which I assumed was an used feature as it did not show the side-track for Serenity 1..
But Repsol's Blake, the 1st hole plus 2 side-tracks are displayed.. Each has its own time to TD, which is only display if you use the graphic !...

But looks like Petrofac are having the moorings pre-layed for the next Stena Don job from tomorrow, so sounds like the drilling is swift...

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@Tro, 33% off all time low ;)
https://www.lse.co.uk/rns/FCM/high-grade-nickel-assays-from-west-pickle-lake-my2uescfh5w8aob.html

@Serif, your quite right, plus the Geo side-track amendment doc adds another 19 days, so 49 in total..

But on those optimistic historical time scales, I would expect people to have been de-risking the last couple of days,.. Makes no difference if your in for the result though.. Only really brought up the previous timings as mentions of problems, or the rig leaving early were appearing. I was busy checking out details and did'nt see Paul's update untll after I posted... I wanted a relaxed weekend... :)

Lets hope I3e's assumptions are as good as watching that sunset with your beer ;)

Thanks, wish I had seen your post earlier...

They completed the first Serenity well within 20 days, spud date 4th, TD 23rd.. including Geo side-track,
they did'nt get consent for the side-track until the 16th, so at earliest drilled that from 16-23

So that would be this weekend, maybe mid-week if side-track takes 7 days from consent.
So I assume can be done while the pre-lay mooring is being setup before the rig moves on.. Then that could all be in advance..

Tony, points out it could be a re-spud covered by the original consent..
But
Aimster has pointed out it can take 2-6 days to set up the pre-lay mooring, so could be another job, a week away..
Also
Petrofac have the rig booked for another drill , consents request for this month, not yet given...
Tailwind Energy’s Gannet E field in the UK Continental Shelf.

https://www.tailwind.co.uk/Evelyn-Phase-1-and-Gannet-E-Expansion-projects
https://www.stena-drilling.com/new-contract-with-petrofac-for-the-hire-of-mobile-offshore-drilling-unit-modu-stena-don/

I dont know, we can speculate, adds some excitement.. I did'nt think anything into the tweet, but being able to get the side-track consented just before TD date on Serenity 1, then repeating that this week, that got me thinking.. lol..
I remember ADV's prelims day before the duster, and HE1's off-taker comment days before the duster..

I dont see any consent for another location, or request.. and the side-track consent is from the original well,

Reading, the pre-lay mooring is set up in advance of the next job, maybe its nearby and thats being prepared, probably another contract..
Its all waffle from me...little experience here

@Bladey.. The day before the Side-track was consented, thats interesting...
When they drilled Serenity 1, they also had the side-track consented days before end of the drill..
I thought it was an oversight, and lucky to be granted in time.. but I dont know how these things work. just baseless assumptions
But thats twice .....

@Bladey, Tweet ?
The other 3 wells reached TD in 19/20 days of spud..
That includes the Geo Side-track Depth MD (ft) 6568 , TVDSS (ft) 5344
but they mentioned a 30 day drill, .

@Tony
Here is the interview. I believe they give 3 points towards 5270ft..
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qY2UtJr7jbM

One for ...plugs.. comedy
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qu9MptWyCB8&t=58s

Thats my estimated date to reach TD

@Tony, no worries, but have a beer for me :)

@BDT
Page 47, issue date, Page 67, gives full details..
https://wp-predatoroilandgas-2020.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/media/2021/06/19205031/261085-Predator-plc-AR-Web-1.pdf

For quite a while I was getting very low availability, and even though a higher priced buy has gone through there has been no sells that we can see.. So unless the MM have a pot full, it looks like they are struggling for sellers today, unless a tree shake is coming. Can they see stop loses?

Lol, if they could drop a bucket down, bring it back up with water, then I would get that...I think, maybe...
So much info to take in,
What was you take on the first few minutes of that interview?

But its great that a few posters are willing to share, help others learn

You done well to get them, does not look like many are available this afternoon

@Aimster, just read your prediction again,my answer was unclear so a week before yours