Totally agree FLIP.
Grow the business using profits from gold and copper income. Since business model is capex SUPER light then earnings will grow fast.
I use term profit, Sales growth and Gross profit margin to compare like for like with other companies performance. I am not expecting any dividends from XTR apart from a special one for BR whenever that is sold.
BR no more drilling and will become a mine says Dear C🎯l at AGM.
Reading up on Empress today . Like the royalty business model alot. It said that MMP have now got export license for gold - anyone knows the advantages to us?
dear C
That is what value investors do NTM
Number crunch to see what share price should be as fair value.
With growing companies such as XTR you revise every time there is a change in income.
Ok you don't like my new name . bTW there is only one L in daniela!
Thanks Flip
I think you will find SANDFIRE scalling back on their operations as they over exposed themselves after $1.4b acquisition copper mine in Spain. It was mentioned at AGM.
Re BR deal if no deal to be had then why is Kjeld still working as NED he has no pay and not even allowed to buy shares in XTR
Think it's high time we work out a forward value for Mozambique Gold based on Q2 results and then target production of 100kg a month. Once we see maiden income from KAKUYU we can add that to mix to.
Guy
I know you've written So much on BR what is your take on what to expect.
I thought DTM when copperprice is low then if dear C🎯l thinks best to wait for higher copper price to do the deal then I think that would be a good POA to maximise returns for shareholders
Wise strategy FLIP in investing in a number of companies . That is my plan too when BR is sold.
Talking of BR you think NO sale to a MAJOR?
I thought we are waiting for financial models to be released after which XTR will approach AA with DTM.
I remember at AGM dear C🎯l wanted to approach AA when copper price is low.
What is your take ?
Just thought I would post REVENUE v GROSS profits figures for H1 - highlighted for your ease of reading JEZ!!!
Note numbers are converted to GBP
C:\Users\homeboy\Documents\DearColco\xtr REV v Gross Profit H1 22.PNG
Imagine the EARNING surprise when compared with:
H1 22
$5,551,847 Revenue
$3,776,798 Gross Profit.
Just thinking of a scenario whereby my figures are widely out.
6th April Podcast dear C🎯l gave $700 AISC.
for me AISC is sum of all costs including PTAX ,Land Sett, & Team on Ground costs.
Will be interesting to see how it will be delivered - With PR or Without??
Morning FLIP
Read the super long fulmer post on ARCM. Very interesting .
Not sure I understand the badblood bit with dear C🎯l though.
Isn't ARCM cash position of £611k a concern going into a JV? I ask cos i note zero revenue snd estimated loss this year of £8.5m for year ending 22 and reported loss of £5.5m for 2021.
Stockopedia gives it a value rating of 1 out of 100 - XTR has a value rating of 43.
However ARlM momentum indicator is 41 up 10 points last 30 days so it looks like it could be on the move.
XTR also up on momentum but lagging behind ARCM on 26
Their MCAP is £30m .
With a Mca
Hi MAD
Thanks for getting the BLUE sky winnings we have at Manica.
Blue sky winnings based on 66kg of gold a month with current POG at $1946 an ounce.
Next target is 100kg a month - need to see if we have an uplift in production Q3.
Let's not forget their are BIG uplifts in revenue at Manica too.
Hoping next leg up will be revealed when H1 results are announced
Yes I saw licenses held by AFP.
Could the end game be FQM buys back licenses from XTR GLR and AFP to increase mine KUMBALA bought from KIW?
ARC isnt that a JV with ANGLO?
certainly got lots of studying to do!
Re GLR announcement.
Simular deal to announcement XTR
- CooperLemon
Do the licenses adjoin to XTR's ones?
Wonder what end game will be.
Who is the expert for GLR thread
started studying dear C🎯l companies. Makes sense if he uses same strategy as for XTR
Pleasure FLIP.
ok so by taking latest figures for Q2 lets project this forward and see what Gross Profit for a year looks like. Note this is worse case scenario i.e not taking into account any INCREASE in production from Fairbride.
Q2
$3,286,891 Total Revenue
-$ 918,949 Total Costs
$2,367,942 Gross Profit
Times above by 4 quarters
$13,147564 Revenue
$9,471,768 Gross Profit
Now lets look at how these figures compare with CAPEX HEAVEY miners -
Year ending 2022
SHG
MCAP £106m
$114m Rev
$6m Gross profit
HUM
$68m - NOTE EV is £213 so they have a whopping £145m debt on bal sheet OUCH
$151m Rev
-$33m Gross LOSS
CGS
MCAP £147m
$1.49m Rev
$12m Gross profit
Now when MR Market wakes up to earnings don't you all think it will be bought into?
The above does not include any income from KAKUYA either.
Now my friends be EXCITED and stop MOANING
Flip
This podcast 6th April for Q1 NUMBERS
https://audioboom.com/posts/8276536-midweek-takeaway-with-colin-bird-executive-chairman-of-xtract-resources-aim-xtr
Note I worked out TOG costs for Q1 and used same figure for Q2 as they are more or less fixed
Finals where it stated gold produced for APR and may with Jun guestimated to be same as MAY
Now check my working out
There are ZERO brokers covering XTR so the MARKET won't have a CLUE what has been achieved in H1 until results are announced? "
I think you've answered your own question there Dani.
If the market doesn't have a clue how do you ?
Good question JEZ
I have the same information to hand as ALL investors do
I have the ability to project earnings based on information I receive from the company.
Which part of Q1 & Q2 don't you agree with?
Q2 gold production numbers
Mozambique Gold
Q2 23
GUESTIMATE pretty accurate. To be official when H123 announced
Fairbride Production
APR ●68KG●2186 OZ
23% SHARE XTR 502 oz
Av price gold $1997
MAY●66KG●2121 OZ
23% SHARE XTR 487 oz
Av price gold $1989
GUESTIMATE
JUN●66KG●2121OZ
23% SHARE XTR 487 oz
Av price gold $1942
GUESTIMATE SMALL OPS
XTR SHARE 200 OZ @ $1850
TOTAL XTR Gold share 1676 OZ UP 37% from Q1 (1223 OZ)
TOTAL Revenue $3,286,891 UP 47% from Q1 ($2,264,956)
TOTAL COSTS $918,949
Production tax & LSettlement @ 6.15% of revenue
$202,143
TOG
$716,806 (equal to Q123 )
COST PER OUNCE $548 ●21% Decrease from Q1 ($700)
$918,949 /1676oz)
TOTAL GROSS PROFIT Q2 $2,367,942
(Rev less costs)
Total NETT PROFIT Q2 $1,610,201 ●68% increase from Q1 ($958,098)
G PROFIT - (GP X 32% Corp Tax)
GROSS PROFIT MARGIN 72%
NETT PROFIT MARGIN 49%
Well my happy chappies do you get the picture now. What Ma been harping on about for over 2 years?
Now just imagine when Fairbride produces between 100kg to 130kg per month.
Q1 gold production
140kg Total produced FAIRBRIDE
1040 oz 23% share for XTR
Fairbride
(1040 OZ GOLD x $1859)
Plus
Other ops
(183 oz gold x $1812
Total Revenue Q123
$2,264,956
This is 267% increase compared to Q122 - revenue $617,422
Gold earnt by XTR Q123 1223 oz (1040+183)
This is an increase of 218% compared to Q122 - 384OZ
Total costs Q123
((1040+184) × $700
$856,100
Above figure includes Production tax @6% plus a much reduced land settlement tax @ 0.15% of total revenue
So Team on Ground cost for Q123
$856,100 - ($2,264,956 x 6.15%)
Total TOG $716,806
Since TOG costs are more or less the same each quarter we can use this figure when calculating Q223 figures
Gross profit Margin is 62.2%
((2,264,956 - 856,100) / (2,264,956)) ×100
Nett profit Margin is 42.3%
((2,264,956 - 958,098) / (2,264,956)) ×100
I am sure you will ALL agree the above margins are very impressive. In a later post we will see how XTR results fair against all other gold producers in the UK stock market.
Really Jez❓
You said
"shareprice means nothing"
Explain..
Ok
Mr Newby pops over to XTR thread and is blown away by Mr Jez and company interselectual posts
8p to 1.5p SP keeps on being spouted.
1.5p says Mr Newby❓❓
Mr Newby who has heaps more grey matter than ALL of you put together says
1.5p could mean MCAP of
£12m or £60m or £120m or any other PRICE📍📍