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Two quarters suspended would mean I could cancel my monthly visit to the Priory, which is a necessity as a JSE shareholder for keeping your sanity.
The market doesn't think Blakeley is very canny. This smells like a smokescreen, JSE have spent the last year telling the market how in the future no one asset will dominate their portfolio as Montara did. Now, if this deal happens it will be responsible for 60% of group production. This will unravel as has become the norm for JSE in recent times.
This time last year BP was making a rapid ascent to £5.70 on well received results. There had been a marked shift in the growth v value stocks debate, with tech shares taking a breather, which helped BP. Brent this time last year was averaging $82 as against $80 this year Although refining margins were double last year, today's numbers are healthy and above the long term average. The dividend was 6.61 cents last Feb against 7.27 cents today, and there are over a billion less shares in circulation. The oil sector is definitely out of favour, but I continue to see good value building here.
From what I recall when the share price was £5.70, people were not on here complaining about buybacks at those levels, because for the majority they were in profit. When the shares are £4.50 the forum is full of people moaning about buybacks at those prices, because their investment may be showing a loss, yet the buybacks at £4.50 offer far more value than £5.70. My take is any buybacks under £5 will prove to be a steal. The last buyback where the moaning reached a crescendo averaged £4.695, so they are already proving to be an astute bit of business.
The market seems to like the less razzle dazzle, prudent stewardship of MA. With circa 2 billion shares to be purchased over the next two years and renewed focus on debt reduction(finance costs were over $1bn in Q4) I think it will be a slow romance, but the market and maybe even some of the punters on here will eventually come to appreciate MA's talents.
I make it that the maximum price the company could have paid for shares in the buyback was £16.18 on Monday& Tuesday and £16.30 today. Admittedly my maths is a bit dodgy.
Net debt was $22.3bn at the end of Q3. Finance costs for Q3 were $1.04bn. Brent is averaging $80 in 24, and $82 in 23, so despite all the moaning on here, it's a case of business as usual. With another 1.5% of their shares bought in this recent buyback and a likely dividend increase coming, BP shareholders are not being neglected.
Looks like you continue to spout nonsense.
Data in, up to Jan 27. 27 days@19,362=522,768 barrels. I'm going for a 2c Q4 dividend.
OGtourist, thank you for sharing your work. Stag has been a concern for me ever since the $60m infills at the end of 22. With present production @2200/2300, the $70m opex for 24, another costly infill in 25, unless oil hits $100+ premiums, it's a waste of tine. The PM infills have been more successful, but I expect a rapid decline, H1 24 numbers will reveal all. Montara and Stag opex at $60 a barrel, 1.2 million unheddged barrels in Q1, JSE really needs a healthy oil price, and Akatara to deliver on schedule.
The Jan 15 RNS brought Stag into focus, and with Montara, JSE has nearly 50% of current production with each barrel costing $60 to produce. Blakeley is now trying to reinvent JSE, but the company is only 5 years old and each RNS gives the impression he's making it up as he goes along. They could have made a change of CEO in a respectful manner, all stakeholders are now feeling the pain.
The market lost confidence in Blakeley a long time ago. This was a minor 30 barrel oil spill that has been totally mismanaged. Twenty months on the company is limping on crying out for new leadership, everyone but the Board and Roxi can see that.
That's the thing, there are no institutions selling, volume is low , there is just no reason to buy.
Just bought 643@£15.55. First purchase, been watching a while.
From Monday's call, current production 23k a day and 21 million PSU's to come over the next 2-3 years.
DW is on GB News this morning with the combative Andrew Pierce.
No news for Q4 dividend due in March.
A year ago JSE had $123m net cash, so the destruction of shareholder value is off the chart by Blakeley.
Nalakapala, before venturing into character analysis, find out what an oxymoron is.
Anyone else bought shares today, or are you all too busy on here bellyaching.