Some implications of bid for NCM7 Feb 2023 10:06
I think, leaving aside other possibilities like bid for GGP or GGP bid for Telfer/Hav etc., one thing this bid will do is accelerate the update to the RE. To try to fend off Newmont or at least get better value, Newcrest will want to maximise their value which will give a strong incentive to bring forward anlysis and decisions on HAV. Alternatively, if they feel they need to dispose of HAV to defend against the bid, then it will also be in their interest to maximise the potential value and hence accelerate the process. I suspect Newcrest analysts and whichever thrid party is doing the assessment are, as of this week, working very hard!
The Financial Review article mentioned a figure of $1.9b for Newcrest's interests 'around Telfer and Havieron'. I don't know where this comes from but if true it's significant for Havieron because Newcrest's interests amount to one nearly dead mine (Telfer), one processing plant (which is just a decommissioning cost without more ore to process), one promising Juri JV (ascribed value now: $0!) and...
...the Havieron deposit!
Is Haverion worth the best part of $1.9 billion? It's possible...