RE: Trainline Thesis3 Apr 2026 09:05
Dang223, great write up. I concur with your thoughts but I'm slightly more bullish. The threats have been totally overblown. I extensive knowledge of Agentic AI and complex payment systems, the short answer is that someone (system) still needs to do the complex plumbing, the shiny frontend accounts for about 10% of the development costs. Equally having sold packaged software to the public sector it's clear they have no ability to develop their own solution here, not because they are incapable but because of the many layers of red tape and bureaucracy. There will be endless meetings, scope changes, cost over runs and delays. I suspect GBR will eventually contract Trainline to be the engine under the hood. My price expectation over the next 24 months is +Ā£5 (Ā£6.30 is my personal target). The threats will become positive additions to the multiplier. Agentic AI will integrate into Trainline Solutions allowing employees to order train tickets via slack or ms teams using the trainline plumbing. GBR will lean on Trainline to power the country's ticketing consolidation.