Take your positions18 Aug 2025 15:10
Big day at the Whitehouse.
If it looks like a deal can be done then this heads toward 150p. If it completely breaks down then it drops 10-20% , the killing continues, Zelenki gets replaced and they try again later in the year.
Zelensky has been told that he can end the war almost immediately - he knows the deal on the table, he will try for a slightly better one but will (rightly or wrongly) ultimately agree. He will be offered US guarantees if he signs now, if he doesn't then they come off the table and it's down to the Europeans next time they sit down.
The European Leaders know they need the Yanks but want to look relevant, especially Stramer who is really ineffective.
Could go either way.