1 Billion + Valuation (40p a share) ?????7 Nov 2025 08:33
Ok, for those saying 40p a share - what size of discovery would Red Setter have to be - and what does proving this up entail.
Conservatively and suitor will pay 5%-10% of the non discounted spot value of the Metal in place - so a 6m oz Au discovery gets us there with the expected Cu content based on a conservative 5% (of metal) valuation
So as above Wishbone Gold (WSBN) to be valued at around £1 billion, assuming a buyer pays 5% of the in-situ metal value, the Redsetter project would need to contain roughly 6.5 m oz of gold, or an equivalent combination of both gold and copper. That level of contained metal represents a Tier-1, world-class discovery, similar in scale to major deposits but still smaller than Havieron or Cadia and about half the size of Telfer. But how does it prove this to any buyer.
To prove that level of resource to JORC standards, WSBN would need to complete a major exploration and evaluation campaign, not just early-stage drilling. It would likely require between about another 50000m of diamond and RC drilling to define the orebody and demonstrate continuity and grade. Extensive geophysical surveys, detailed geological and 3D block modelling, and full QA/QC validation would also be essential.
In parallel, the company would need to carry out comprehensive metallurgical testing, density measurements, and environmental baseline studies to support a JORC-compliant Indicated or Measured Resource. The total cost to reach this point would typically take another $US20m, and the process could probably take about 18months , depending on logistics and funding.
Once such a resource is proven and reported by a Competent Person, it would provide the technical foundation a major producer would need to justify a £1 billion acquisition or partnership. At the current 2.59 billion WSBN shares in issue, that valuation would equate to a share price of about 40ish p. In short, to reach a billion-pound valuation, Wishbone would need to outline a truly world-class deposit and back it up with rigorous JORC-level proof.
So for a £1billion Valuation (circa 40p a share) we would need a lot more drilling
My conclusion - if this is Haveiron sized then to get £1billion for it could we would need some sort of Farm-on or JV to fund the drilling and about 18months to carry everything out.
I suspect we will likely get taken out before that happens unless the company can continue to debt fund the drills themselves secured against resources .
Low ball offers may come in once they have completed a few more drills and have all results back - possibly up to about 15-20p a share.
If the Redsetter is anywhere near Telfer sized then double the figures above.