Penny Sleuth PRT213 Sep 2011 18:39
A vital message for you as an investor
There is a message here that will not be lost upon the oil industry. But there is also a message for investors. If you want the chance to get some real bang for your buck, you need to invest in small companies.
Shareholders in Tullow were rewarded with a 15% gain on Friday and those in Northern Petroleum – a much smaller company – benefitted to the tune of 30%. But for the real extremes, consider Shell and Wessex (WSX).
Shell is a £73bn monster. So even 45% of what could be the most significant oil find of the year has had no more impact than a fly on an elephant. Shareholders in Shell had nothing to celebrate whatsoever. Overwhelmed by the broader trend on what was a gloomy day for the stock market, its share price actually fell by 2%. But Wessex is valued at just £35m. So even though it only holds a tiny 1.25% interest, its shares raced up by 53%.
Penny stocks can grow quickly in a falling market
The contrast could hardly be starker. Shell is so big and so diverse that any one single event makes little difference. From day to day its share price is driven by macro-driven stock market sentiment and not by its own efforts.
For Wessex, on the other hand, whose only other interests are in Hampshire, Dorset and the Isle of Wight, its share price is driven by company-specific events. And a tiny share of an oil discovery was enough to send its value sky high.
That is why, despite the risks being higher than investing in blue chips, I like small companies and penny shares.
If the business does well the shares will perform, regardless of the market context. It is of course important that you maintain a diversified portfolio in order to spread your risk, but if you think that stock market sentiment is going to remain gloomy for a while - and plenty currently do – I see no point whatever in buying into giants like Shell that will not be able to buck the trend. But if you get into the right small companies you will make real money, regardless of what is going on elsewhere. Nowhere is this more true than in the oil sector.