elite4 Jun 2014 20:09
what you say is true, re-raising capital, which was one of 2 negatives here other one being this seller we have had for age ( both of these were mentioned earlier today ). capital raising is a part of the game here on aim, fri is short of funds we all know that, there are two ways they can go about this ( a ) raise capital via placing method, if it came to this it wont be huge dilution as capex needed for next few mths aint great at all, my guess is if we was to raise via placing we would only raise approx ( £1.5m ), please note this is the most ( guess from my part ) and if this was the case, one is looking at approx 60m odd shares ( which i am sure you would agree is peanuts ), the reason to need raise small amounts currently if at all, is mainly due to the fact we have 3 possibilities of farmouts which would give us further revenues ( note data room i believe is open for all 3 farmouts ), yes its true farmout might or might not happen in next few weeks, but i genuinely believe it will happen within next couple of mths or so. Overall we have 3 great projects ( oman, Namibia, Zambia ) so even if little dilution is done at lets say...i am sure overall it will be welcomed, one reason being we would have further funds and secondly and most importantly we would have more liquidity here, just take toady as an example with only so many few shares in freefloat ppl were struggling to buy even small amounts here. lets say they threw in 60m sharesor even 70m or 80m ( don't believe it will be this high if it was to happen ) then we would still have under 200m shares in issue, which for an oily with great potential like FRI is really rare on AIM market.
So the bottom line is yes capital raise via placing could happen but imho it wouldn't be great just bare minimum for foreseeable future atleast until farmouts are sorted out, which again as stated shouldn't take long. Its for this reason why if one has a low average it shouldn't matter that much especially if placing was done at a higher price.
Aim is not for faint hearted that's for sure, if ppl buy shares without considering the risks then something is wrong, one should always take in consideration when investing of the down falls ( i always tend to say to ppl play it safe and only invest what you could afford to lose ). Here on aim ppl take a chance they take the risk and they tend to trade a lot, sometimes it goes for them others against them, that is down to each individual him/herself how they play. Me personally don't tend to trade a lot if it happens then it happens, if -ve rns was to come it wouldn't matter. Take a look at trp not long ago approx 8mths ago ( on top of my head ) they did a placing at 1p+, after which it touched 7p be4 2nd placing. Dilution hurts shortterm only, longterm as trp has indicated its a winner.
for all those who want to know the risks, read this post. Nothing comes in life easy. sometimes one has to take risks.