Member Info for carlywarly

Worth considering on the pessimistic side , Centamin can only produce/find 110oz per Quarter gold going forward = 440oz annually, no west Africa development, 50/50 profit share kicking in next year, AISC rising to $1100, Gold average $1300, = $44m profit attributed to share holders, all paid out in dividends = £34m = 3p per share,-- just an equation off the top of my head, ( some might say I am off my head, lol.) --- Also Non farm payroll out at 1.30pm .

It seems to me that for the first time the quarterly production and financials will be announced together in the quarterly results on 24th April and not separately as has been in the past.-- -- Wonder why, conspiracy welcome!.

I am completely with you Mrtibbs, & Rebess suspicion's of centamins half truth's and will not be surprise of a downward revised production announcement in the coming months .

Quite wright Rebess, I cannot recall Cey ever using term Gold poured before, -- there be another spanner in the workers in 2 weeks time. IMO

Gold production, Gold sold, Gold poured. Is 20,000 Oz's that should have been sold in the 3Qrt included in the guidance of 135,000- 140,000 ounces poured !?. - All a little bit confusing to me, it seems you can only believe half of what the management say-- its just knowing what half to believe!.

With no reports of any shipments for 3 weeks, and if Octobers 9 million payment to EMRA included their percent of the 20,000 Oz's that should have been sold in the 3rd Qrt , I would think Nov's payment to EMRA to be lower, and perhaps another revised downward production announcement soon!.

Hi Rebess, Good post and I agree completely.- In the past i have visited a few casino's and used to try to beat the house at Blackjack by counting cards -( ended up even ) - so fascinated with equations and systems. -- Have the mms and cartel got a system wether corrupt or not !?, -- wounder what Tibbs thinks!.

December has not been good for gold in the last three years, and with triple witching day approaching the re-balancing of ETF's could the mm's take us down to a new year low! ?, Nothing would surprise me with this share.

Thanks Tibbs, I am assuming 3rd Qrt results will be little better then I first thought,. I guess we will soon see .

If $1.2m July, $4.8m August, $4.5m Sept,= $ 45% profit to (EMRA) - to me that's means 55%profit to share holders= approx. $13m for 3rd Qrt, Have I got my sums wright?

Hi Tibbs, I am not tired of your moaning, I like it;. lol

Just around 2 years ago Rebess was reminding people on here of the Capital Gains Tax when selling,(if only) if I sold now I shall be putting in for a Tax Rebate!. - All we need now is another Revolution and we will be back to square one!.

Hi cowichan, Yes watch the videos( many thanks to you and others for your informative post ) It seems that Sotolo is the only one who has call this wright so far. Cannot ever see us reaching £1.90 again so would quite happily except a cash bid with a nice premium on todays share price weather it be a plc, or a private equity consortium.

With 23 pence a share in the bank and 20 years of mining assets left at the currant rate, we must be a good take over target now at the present share price even more if it goes to 80p!

Are we about to get a new revise production guidance figure, bought back in at an average of £1 and so down a few thousand but up over all. Not as old as some on here not 60 yet, but also feeling to old for this game, Half of me saying to get out and not look at any more shares!. GLA

Hi Sotolo, Yes your views, posts do appear to be coming true. I am fully out at the moment selling between £1.18-£1.20 so below £1.00 would be a nice re-entry for me. Also looking ahead a little December seems to have been a bad time for Gold & Cey in the last few years!. ATB

The mm's playing games, maybe to see who they can suck in then go lower tomorrow !?, or have we reached the bottom-- one day to go.

I am also fully out at the moment, waiting for next weeks Q2 results, my calculations for AISC is £1100+ (although I am no maths genius) also expecting a dividend cut and mms to knock the share back to the teens. -- Having said this I guess everything will do the opposite!.

Can the guidance of 510k oz be trusted now or shall we be getting another revised guidance of 450k oz in a few weeks time!?.

More chance of Gold getting to $1400, then England getting to the next round!.