Member Info for camo1997

Well, got some more. Slightly disappointed in the short term trend of this. However, as the below comments say, this valuation is now ridiculous. Fell i have spent a bit of time on this and happy with the fundamentals, and very happy with the fundamentals compared to the current price.

Near a pound for BV/S
PE near 10.
Kept quite consistent revenue.
Cash ratio of 0.34 and current ratio of 5.4! So strong cash position and very strong position to cover short term liabilities.
I could go on.
On my review this company had 8 weak points, 6 strong points and 4 very strong points.
Most of the weak points were around volatility and share price bits and some cash flow aspects.
However, still should not be around 38p atm.

For a macro point, yeah, there is 100% excess valuation, across multiple asset classes. However, i don't think this is a growth stock, far more value. Therefore if we were to see a return with dividends, even with a hike in rates, NPV should remain strong. And unlike growth names in the us where any raise in the 10y yield has an affect on them, i don't believe this should preform the same. On this point, due to their strong rations on the balance sheet, debt should stay controllable with any raise in rates.

Just my view.......

Interesting open

-7% very quickly. Then alot of volume around 37. Now positive... don't you just love small caps :)

Saying that, dropped a bit in auction, but still.

Actually held up okay today

fyi, simplybe and other brown sites have good discounts today. Hope everyone is doing their xmas shopping from them lol!

Got some more....not looking amazing. But got some below 40.

Bit of profit taking, to be expected

Lets go!! Well done to those who averaged down!

Exciting morning ay...120 by cop?

Found some support atm, in auction again at 80. 82 in auction atm

Until the gov says something, this is just noise. Brought in at 93

hmmmm

Got some more

Picked some more up at a little over 43.....

Got a link Ian?

Fed rate decision today i believe too. Should not have an impact, but in some way it does lol.

Popped you a message

georgehope, on Twitter? Can send there.

Popped you a follow, think you have messages turned off?

Fundamental analysis: https://ibb.co/DzyhMyQ (image)

Completed a monte carlo simulation if anyone is interested. Based off daily data going back to 24/03/2020 (more weight added to last 100 days for SD). Simulation for next 261 trading days to 31/10/2022:
Average 31/10/2022 (Across 22 MC simulations): 129.40p
5% chance higher than (95th): 293.21p
70% chance higher than (30th) :78.88p
95% chance higher than (5th): 62.20p
99% chance higher than (1st): 38.60p

Conditioned on systemic risk, this is currently a buy for me.

Can send anyone the full document if interested.