UK TIP FOR ISPATIAL19 Oct 2010 20:00
19th October 2010 Analyst: Philip Morrish
Email: philip.morrish@gecr.co.uk
Tel: 0207 562 3362
1Spatial* - Reverse Take-Over of IQ and 1000-1 Share Consolidation Complete: Buy at 71.5p with a 123p Target Price
Key Data
EPIC
SPA
Share Price
71.5p
Spread
68p - 75p
Total no of Shares
21,205,291 million
Market Cap
£15.16 million
Net Cash
c £1 million
Market
AIM
Website
www.1spatial.com
Sector
Software & Computer Services
Contact
Nic Snape
Chief Executive
01223 433445
This morning 1Spatial completed the reverse takeover of AIM shell IQ Holdings and also undertook a 1,000 for 1 share consolidation, thus lifting the thriving enlarged group out of the ranks of the penny shares at a stroke. 1Spatial is a well developed and focussed location based software business with net cash and which is profitable. The geospatial market it targets is already worth $2.65 billion and grew at 38.4% between 2006 and 2010 and we expect that growth to continue.
We value the group on an EV/EBITDA basis. Hence while the market capitalisation, at 71.5p, us £15.16 million the Enterprise Value is c £16 million which is which is 15 times the reported EBITDA for the year to June 30th 2010 of £1.065 million. However, we estimate that by the end of the financial year to 30th June 2012, the group will have increased its net cash to £4.182 million, which opens up the potential of the group paying a dividend as early as next year.
We regard an EV/EBITDA multiple of around 10 times as undemanding for a company which has cash, is cash generative and which is increasing its profits and earnings rapidly. As such we formally start our coverage of 1Spatial, at 71.5p, with a target price of 123p and a stance of buy.
Forecast Table
Year to 30 June Sales
( £million)
Pre-tax Profit
( £million)
Earnings per share (p)
Price Earnings Ratio (x)
Dividend (p)
Yield (%)
2008A
7.947
0.24
0.4
200
0.0
0.0
2009A
8.403
0.303
1.3
61.5
0.0
0.0
2010A
8.008
0.073
0.9
88.9
0.0
0.0
2011E
8.508
0.675
5.4
14.8
0.0
0.0
2012E
9.785
1.51
8.3
9.64
0.0
0.0
Source: Growth Equities & Company Research
*1Spatial is a corporate client of Rivington Street Holdings (RSH) the ultimate owner of GE&CR. The SF t1ps Smaller Companies Growth Fund which is managed by another Rivington Street Holdings subsidiary owns shares in 1Spatial, as does RSH.
This research note cannot be regarded as impartial as GE&CR has been commissioned to produce it by 1Spatial, it should be regarded as a marketing communication.
The information in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but cannot be guaranteed. Growth Equity & Company Research is owned by T1ps.com Limited which is commissioned to produce research material under the GE&a