RE: Big move coming14 Nov 2023 14:49
The CPI Inflation numbers just released in the US points to an Economy in or close to recession and deflation (when looking at the 3 month numbers just gone) IMO, when you look at the US Budget Deficit numbers released last evening, it suggest an outright contraction is already happening, the year on year monthly October 2023 numbers showed tax receipts down by 8% and outgoings up by 15%, this will get worse as the economy starts to cool even further under (relative to the last 15 years) high interest rates and tax receipts come down yet further and unemployment goes up, of course, this will be softened somewhat by interest rates falling in real rates terms, but with an 8% to US GDP budget deficit currently, what this could blow out to could be truly epic and cause an almighty bust IMO under numerous bond market blow up scenarios.
My own view, a serious recession in 2024, US GDP budget deficit of 15%, and a Federal Reserve forced to buy the US Treasury’s Debt (under Yield Curve Control).
Gold to Hit All Time Highs by End of 2023 as a result?