RE: Share price19 Nov 2018 20:49
Evening.
Just going through some of the recent posts.
Re trade-outs for GGP/MOD float buying - yes, probably some of that going on.
As I mentioned on 2nd November with the MTR SP @ 1.8s, I suspected we were in the middle of where the manipulative HNWs that drive this thing could dump her to (the current paper value: c25% of MOD at PFS value + cash +THR holdings) vs where it'll likely be when MOD deliver a DFS at PFS-esque numbers and providing the Copper price doesn't collapse in the meantime (possible if the G20/Trump/China goes t*ts). Just how close to the current paper value they drive MTR to is of course unknowable to the likes of me but they went bloody close to it last time around.
Re the "misled" stuff - well again, I'm, not going into chapter and verse on that but in hindsight it would appear that MOD's "turbo charged" exploration funding was/has actually been used to fund the DFS and an LSE main exchange listing instead. Those two items can easily take care of the better part of £10m.
I'd like to think otherwise but a dozen assayed holes in the six months since? Do me a favour. There's been some nice hits in the very few holes they've drilled of course so I'm not calling it a dud by any means and I like T3 a whole bunch but again, in hindsight, we've probably been stiffed on the funding side of the equation here - I'll do better next time :)
As for the MOD float - we'll have to wait and see on that - to my mind it won't make much sense to do it if the markets continue their tumble and Copper gets slammed because of that due to recession worries - the G20/Trump/China stuff is clearly highly important in that respect.
All told, while the current period sucks, the situation post-DFS is likely to be much, much better, it's just the pain in the interim period everyone has to live with plus sharpening their pencil on where the likely real-world valuations of MOD and MTR, respectively, sit right now and will likely sit in 4-6 months time.