RE: Good long read31 Oct 2021 12:20
Afternoon.
Only time will tell on the Gold price but I like Summer 2022 for the beginning of lift-off as I've said before.
We may have to "suffer" the $1,700-$1,900 range for the next nine months but I think it'll be worth the wait as goldies continue to balance their books, pay off debt and book more cash onto their balance sheets.
I did a comparison of HUM with a few more goldies yesterday and they all look the same to me - at least double the current SP in around 12 months time.
I also did a review of Yanfolila LoM/Kouroussa timelines/LoM & Dugbe too this morning.
HUM managed to pick up another 1/4m oz from Yanfolila in 2019 from that $5m drill campaign so I'm hopeful we'll see at least that amount being added to resources soon with new booking to reserves with an updated mine plan in Q2 2022 following 2021's $10m campaign. Some of the SE hits were very nice.
It would seem reasonable to guesstimate that there'll be another tow or three years added to the LoM to take it through to 2025. I note, however, that the stated aim/expectation is to not only increase the LoM but to also increase the current 100k oz pa which would be a nice double-whammy.
The 500k oz @ 3.5 g/t at KE - underground - could be a nice little earner down the road too.
By 2025 Kouroussa will have been in production for a couple of years too so the overlap with consequent knock-on effect to the cash build will be very noticeable, particularly if Dugbe is also producing from 2024 for a grand total that could, conceivably, reach 350k oz pa for a couple of years, or more if they go underground at KE.
That's almost CEY scale as I mentioned the other day but at 1/16th of the mcap.
Nice.
Happy to sit on this for at least a year, regardless of SP moves from here.