Citywire article published today22 Jul 2025 18:55
Shore Capital: Capita still faces headwinds
Capita (CPI) shares have been on a great run in 2025 but Shore Capital still sees ‘evident’ headwinds for the outsourcing specialist.
Analyst Robin Speakman said he would maintain a ‘hold’ recommendation on Capita until visibility improves. The share price was 0.9% higher at 348p at time of writing on Monday afternoon, having risen around 65% year to date.
Ahead of interim results in early August, Speakman said: ‘News flow has been modest recently, and we do not expect any dramatic improvement in performance.’
The analyst suggested buying from an institutional activist investor and small investors focused on ‘deep value’ had helped push up Capita’s share price this year.
However, he added the macro outlook remains challenging for the group, with scrutiny on public sector spending and uncertainty over the opportunity for AI-related projects.
‘Capita still offers attractive fundamental valuation ratios...but these are not backed by cash with negative/low FCF within our forecast period,’ said Speakman, who estimated the stock was trading on 9.4 times estimated 2025 financial year earnings.