RE: Happy New Year1 Jan 2020 19:33
Ed Clowes
2020 tip: Glencore
Last year was a good one for the miners. Anglo American and Rio Tinto rose around a quarter, for example. But while their share prices performed well, the outlook for iron ore and copper - which the pair heavily rely on - is pretty gloomy.
As a result, 2020 could be a tough year for the already-highly valued miners.
That doesn’t mean there’s no good business to be done, however.
Glencore looks particularly attractive. Of course it has its downsides. There’s a slew of court cases heading towards the Switzerland-based commodities giant, with the Serious Fraud Office most recently opening a probe.
The company is problematic from an ESG (environmental, social and governance) point of view: it has a heavy exposure to polluting coal; a chief executive, Ivan Glasenberg, who is also the second biggest shareholder; and it has a big footprint in poor and developing countries such as the DRC.
A stacker-reclaimer operates next to stockpiles of coal
Miner Glencore is placed for recovery after a lacklustre year CREDIT: BLOOMBERG
But consider this: Glencore’s commodity mix - which also includes zinc and cobalt - may very well benefit the company in 2020. HSBC describes it as a “positive differentiator”.
Glencore, which has had a lacklustre year, falling 19pc, has great headroom for recovery. Furthermore, the miner has a growing earnings profile, promising strong near-term yields.