RE: RE: RE: Copper Rally22 Feb 2021 19:39
Glencore has the highest exposure to base metals and copper, which account for 40% of underlying earnings (EBITDA), among its UK competitors, so there are more upside risks in terms of supply of copper and nickel due to an accident at Norilsk over the weekend.
The investment bank added that Glencore retains higher regulatory and ESG risks than BHP, RIO and Anglo American, but an improving operational outlook and surging earnings momentum create a low bar to the revised price target of 350p even under conservative commodity price forecasts.
“GLEN’s investment case is more intrinsically linked to its leverage than peers in our view, due to the debt funding demands of its marketing activities,” analysts noted.
“On spot we forecast net debt falls to US$8.5bn at December 2021 and US$3.5bn at December 2022 versus US$16bn at December 2020.”