RE: One Market. Two Perspectives.4 Jan 2026 11:46
Potatohead your post illustrates exactly why all this conjecture is pointless and self defeating
Firstly you are making an assumption that the spod price we receive is based on the spot price on the shipping date. This may not be true, it could equally be based on a weighted average across the previous week or fortnight.
We haven't received the final payment yet so we don't know what the final price per tonne received will be.
We equally don't know the dry weight of the cargo . The price we receive is based on dry weight not the wet weight transported.
We also don't know the level of impurities which is also factored into the final price.
I suspect, given how long the product was sat around, this shipment may not be totally representative of future shipments.
Unless you expect the three parties to publish the full offtake agreement, which I don't, we aren't going to get a full understanding of likely cash flow until we are a few shipments in