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I don't think many of us are tricked by the large book spreads but it is hard to keep up with the true direction of the trades when the live mid-price doesn't match the book mid-price.NB. It isn't just large spreads in the order book that confuse the pricing algorithms. It can happen with seemingly narrow book spreads too. Every time the live mid-price moves/sits markedly to one side of the book mid price a false buy/sell attribution happens. On some days it seems that practically all trades are misattributed. This might be because the true price is being deliberately obfuscated by the MMs. No doubt they do use this to hide big buys or sells as definitely seemed to be the case when we were having those large trades on the recent rise to 1.44p. Today ADVFN shows 4 times buy volume to sell volume, but checking live prices shows this to be wrong. The buys and sells are probably finely balanced - hence the share price is pretty stable currently.
So, for clarity, Google shows 27.65 simply because that was the last reported trade, but it is actually just a late reported trade from this morning (as you can now see from the trades page on here) and is not the actual last trade of the day. This situation happens a lot. Google is a cheap substitute for up to date share-price (not 15 minute delayed) for those that don't want to pay for level 2 etc but it wont differentiate buy from sell and it wont help identify when trades are late reported.
I think it is irrelevant whether ABDX repeat their confirmatory message of just now in an RNS, What matters is that we have very good reason to believe that ABDX are close to tech transfer completion at least on the Avacta test and it is highly probable that they are fairly close on Vatic too, given the recent press news. Each of these will be RNSed by ABDX on initial purchase orders but I doubt either would delay much in raising their first bulk purchase orders given their interest as expressed on the press and in the other public comments - so we are really primarily just awaiting completion of TT. That could occur at any time and when it does all those that are out will of course struggle (and fail, like I did on Monday morning) to add to or build any decent holding before the inevitable rocket of the stock price. There is no knowing whether the key first RNS will land this week, next or a bit longer but being out seems like a much bigger risk than staying in. Yes we are speculating here but there is reasonable logic to this (unlike many stocks).
Most of the sell-off appears to be by the algo-bots selling scores of small 147 shares blocks at a time. Who is behind the algos? Is it likely to be Oliveira or is it "the shorters"?
They appear to be three more of an ongoing program of the 135p buys that we were getting all last week. They were above the immediately preceding trades prices and the share price didn't fall afterwards but continued to rise slightly.
It still looks like the MMs have kept holding the share price back since late AM for the institutional buyer(s) and/or closing short to buy up hundreds of thousands more shares at around the 133p and 135p levels without further pushing up the share price. At a guess even the two unattributed buys at 135p for 100k and 50k at 12.50- ish were probably both buys too. No sizeable sells today, unlike yesterday, just the usual trader action also restraining the rise for now.
Breakout or not, with ongoing institutional buying this trend should remain upwards and shortly push through 140 towards the 155 that even Wyndrum's chart said was the next target after that - or else we will just pass them both in a blink of an eye if the expected news lands first.
Have the institutional buyers started buying back into Avacta ahead of the awaited news? Several blocks of 50,000 yesterday and today and three blocks of 100,000 just now is surely not a PI buying is it?
Government conspiracy theories aside, half my buys today are false-flagged as sells just because the MMs have been repeatedly pricing offers at below mid. The MMs are inadvertently - or perhaps deliberately - making the trades list look as though there is a wall of sells today when in reality sells and buys are closely matched. The share price cannot be far from bouncing now. Also to note that the Summer doldrums that has held back the entire small cap market over the last few weeks should very soon be over. IMHO this share should bounce back up again in the next few days to nearer fair price.
Sanboy you were right the first time. There is no volume here currently (not unlike like most of the small cap shares this Summer). Selling will always happen and 60k shares is not a 'dump' of any significant holding. The MMs frequently over-react on this stock in both directions and have chosen to drop the share-price on tiny volume to stimulate more trades. As you said we need news to rise, but the imminent end of Summer doldrums in the next couple of weeks and any further uptick in bitcoin should help too.
After yesterday's trades dominated by selling, presumably mostly by Loryser, I've been adding on the dip and today the buys are approaching double the sells (320,000 to 188,000) and the shareprice has stabilized for now despite the general market malaise . The Loryser selling should be gone very soon and those sitting on the sidelines can return to buying here in earnest and we can get on with this long overdue upwards re-rate.
Low volume start today. No sizeable sells for a change and the level of buys is double that of sells currently. MMs still splitting buys between AQUIS and LSE.
Anyone tempted to trade SYME's short squeeze just needs to be wary that the MM or algo controlling the stock (it is main market not AIM) has a habit of blocking sells at the critical times and when the share spikes it crashes hard before any sale can be made through HL or other slow online trading platforms.
Four times as many buys as sells today and, as btbt notes too, the MMs are making more and more use of AQUIS for the trades. It does seem like manipulation to hide the volume of buys and artificially suppress the share price.
Further to my last post, it looks like OMI was possibly previously listed on AQUIS before moving to AIM a year ago. Is that correct? --- I see that there are LSE pages for OMI.PL (the AQUIS equivalent) with no recent chat comments but it lists my recent buys on its trades list today but not on the trades list of this AIM OMI page. If AQUIS is historic/ defunct why are both this website and ADVFN reporting my buys today as being on AQUIS not AIM???? Does it make any difference anyway?
Does this stock have dual listing in UK on both AQUIS and AIM? If so, why and does it matter which one our trades are done on? My buys today via HL show on ADVFN as being AQSE not LSE buys. Is that correct or an error. HL did not give me a choice or notify of that selection. -------The ADVFN trades list shows 70,000 buys and no sells on AQSE and 166,000 buys to 200,000 sells on LSE. All the sells on LSE were in the morning and most from just a couple of trades, one of which was for 100,000 shares. Arguably if all trades were on LSE the stock should be up today not down.
The odd thing with OMI is, when the share price drops 'some still sell at 17p when they could have sold at over 20p the week before. Hopefully this tiresome LORYSER drag will be gone very soon and the share price can get back to where it should be at over 30p.
So the drop this morning was caused on the face of it by just two 25k delayed sells but at least it is now starting to turn back up after sustained buying in the last hour. As usual the MMs moved the share price down excessively on little volume to shake the market and increase trades.
So all the good news we had recently is being treated as irrelevant and we are virtually back to where we were before the news. Typical AIM nonsense. Nothing has changed in the good fundamentals in the last couple of days. This is just players messing with the share as they do. I cannot see any reason to sell at this point. The stock has major upside potential and is overdue a large rise.
I don't at all believe that it is primarily PI investors 'taking profit' at the moment. Barring a few day traders most PI investors would certainly have taken their profits before now when the share was at higher prices both earlier in the year and on release of the recent good news. It is also notable that yet again there are a pair of large delayed share trades of 2.3 Million each from mid-afternoon and which are marked as buys on ADVFN and fit as buys based on the prices immediately prior and after. The pattern of trades and high number of algo trades fits better with manipulation by the MMs and hedge funds in the run-up to demerger and with the high likelihood of larger players wanting to take up positions at discounted price.