RE: Tesla's first mine14 Apr 2022 10:54
OK. Well my penny's worth is that VW sholdn't be underestimated. Cinovec is right in their back garden. They own Skoda, which wil be churning out EVs, and they also have a lot of money. I agree that by comparion to Tesla, their progress is somewhat glacial. But I suspect that the Tesla gigafactory being right on their doorstep will have a galvanising effect. I think they'll suddenly move quickly, having finally made a range of interconnected decisions and do everything all at once. There'll be a string of huge announcements. Tbh, they have no choice, and they're too big to just roll over and fade away. Remember also they also have Seat in Spain, as well as Audi, Bentley, Cupra, Lamborghini and Porsche. Their decisions are bigger and more complex that Tesla's, but they will be making them.
And there's the added factor that the CR govt are strategising to make their country an EV production hub. They have the Li as well as the Manganese. VW are already in the CR in a big way through Skoda, so it's inevitable that the CR Gov and VW are alredy talking. As far as I can see, Tesla owning part of Cinovec would be such a massive kick in the balls to VW that they cannot let it happen. To lose such a massive Li resource that's embedded right in the middle of their manufacturing operations, with few if any alternatives, would amount to an outrageous failure. And the CR Gov too would rather see Cinovec' Li supplying Skoda, as a Czech based enterprise, than being immediately shipped out to a manufacturer in Germany (Tesla).
If only the DFS and other processes would hurry up at Geomet. Until then all we can do is guess. EMH has become a hugely frustrating hold, for which I have to formulte my own guesses in order to jutify hlding, rather than basing the deciion on facts. That's not comfortable.
But it seems to me that VW is a no brainer. If Diess doesn't make this happen, the loss would e so sigificant that he should resign.