Lots of speculation here.19 Mar 2011 08:49
So for what it's worth I will give my take on things. Firstly the company have restructured the debt and converted the loan holders into equity holders hence tying them into the company. This takes away any likelyhood of any of the previous loan holders foreclosing on the business as they are now shareholders like us. Having now cleared it's debts and with a growing order book there is a very strong likelyhood this company will now make profit which is probabbly why the loan holders accepted a loan for equity swap. There is also a strong possibility given the growing sales and impending profits that the company is ripe for take over which is probably why the loan holders also accepted equity for debt with the prospects of a future pay out given their now "Prefferential" creditor / shareholder status. Next issue if you look at the balance sheet of the company the fundamentals of the company are not that bad given the now debt free status as much of their previous revenues will have been used to service debt. Next; Even though from the 18th of April you will not be able to trade the shares on the open market you still own the shares i.e. they are not worthless they are worth the same on the 19th of April as they are on the 18th of April. Why are the shares still being heavily purchased more likely because somebody is taking up a heavy stake in the company and whilst understanding the 3% rule there are many ways around it i.e. buying shares in other names wife / daughter / son / auntie / uncle etc etc we all know the game. So with all this said and done why would somebody or a group of people be re-structuring and then re-acquiring the company? simples.. to make money.. which is why i feel there is a lot more to come yet. why would you want to hold as many of the shares as possible or if possible more than 51%? again a simple answer so that in the future you can make decisions on the company without refering it to meddling shareholders and more importantly you dont have to share your profits with them all of which makes the company more attractive for any prospective buyer. My position with these is to let the end game unfold however, understanding others positions can fully understand why some will exit before the 18th, and just a tip somebody wants these shares so dont give them away as even now you can get considerably more than the bid price with a real expectation of increasing value over the coming weeks imo.