FAO Cristalballs9 Mar 2018 11:51
Actually Cristal as I�m bored and there�s tumble weed blowing across this board I will answer your question, not specific to your points but in general regarding news and charts. It all depends what the news is and when it is. Let�s take MKA as an example as you know all about the news and I the chart for the last 12 months.Look at the sp bobbling along under the 50 day sma, with the 10 day sma which basically tracks the sp due to the timeframe on that parameter. Notice how all three are under the 200 day sma and all are close together. Now bring in the insider rumblings in August the sp and 10 day get above the 50 day. Then the worthy news starts. Firstly, holdings RNS�s early October, the sp jumps above the 200 day closely followed by the 10 day. Ok nothing to shout home about, but then as that month progresses they fall back again towards the 200 day. If the news regarding Talaxis hadn�t been issued then I suspect this pattern would of continued bobbling along. But news did come so what happened to the chart? The sp went up of course due to said news, but now look at the sp,10,50,200 on a 12/6/3 month timescale. The sp trumps all three due to the sma lag but all have swapped around, a gap has now appeared between the 10 and 50 and as time goes on the 200 also. Add in the sentiment and a lot of ramping and those early in make money but only if they sell. Now look at the peak point, news on approval. The market now knows the plan, knows it will get the funds, knows drilling should start within Q2. What happens next, well the market sells the news and people start to take profits. The market knows drilling won�t be starting anytime soon and certainly knows results of that drilling is way off. So bear that in mind and then work out the these two fib points, bobbling to peak, rough fib�s can be worked out for support/bounce points. As you can see from the peak point onwards and downwards with small but significant pauses, bounces around 9.8...8.7...7.8 the 50 day came into play as support slap bang on the 8.7. When the sma�s cross on the way up it�s a little golden cross, but as we can now see on the way down as support was broken and the sma�s crossed the other way it�s a little death cross, which is usually followed by a further drop with those sma�s becoming resistance rather than support on bounces. Stay above the 200 sma and that will be seen as a longterm upward trend, which it still could reach dependant on what news is next and when. Drop below it and it�s a big death cross as the longterm upward trend is broken. Obliviously the trick is seeing these patterns emerging, you�ll never get the top or bottom but you can get close. Confirmation of funds hasn�t stopped it dropping, neither did warrant exercises to fill up the coffers or the fact that the project has funding, or the off chance that some of the news points you make happen, even t