RE: What is good value?9 Jun 2020 13:28
Ocelot - yet you are posting the projected pence/therm that is nowhere near the CPR valuation. That is very misleading.
Also the the chart does not take into account the Corona impact on the global economy. As I said before the world economy may take up to 2-3 years to recover which is 20-30% of Saltfleetby total production.
Also the prices quoted on the chart does not include the Transportation, System Owner entry and Off-take charges which reduces it by another 2.5 pence.
You have to subtract £2 million immediately for Angus decommissioning (!00%)
Fixed Opex inc Equipment Lease Costs @ £1.39million per annum
G&A (Field, and Head Office allocation) @ £0.52million per annum
Applying the 51% gives Angus £0.97million per annum.
Angus Energy staff costs are £1 million.
Angus have predicted it will cost £2.79million to get to first oil, so deducting the £2.5 million leaves them £290,000 short.
A sidetrack is planned Q1, 2021 and it is costed at £2.36million (which is a perfect well and no issues encountered).
Angus share of the costs (51%) = £1.2million
Being generous and saying 40pence/therm minus 2.5pence = 37.5pence.
Over 10 years that is circa £37.5 million.
Subtract £2 million for decommissioning = £35.5 million.
Angus share = £18.1 million over 10 years.
1 year equates to £1.81 million
Subtract £0.97million
Subtract £1million
Leaves you owing £160,000 a year.
And that doesn't even include the £1.29 million for the sidetrack or the £290,000 missing to get to first oil........
And that is with 40 pence/therm