RE: resolutions10 Dec 2022 07:40
Bozi, you mentioned that you think the SR will take 6-12 months, but bear in mind it's already been going on for a couple of months. Personally, I believe 12 months is far too pessimistic.
I've mentioned it before, but the timeline will depend upon whether they've already decided on the direction of travel and how far progressed they are with that particular option. In other words, how focussed are they on one outcome. Of course it's entirely possible the team were already working on a single option some time before the process was formally announced (I seem to recall this was alluded to in the initial announcement).
I think we should also bear in mind Citi and Maxit are not qualified to opine on technical matters and will be focussed purely on exit and financing options - obviously, if an exit is the plan, financing is irrelevant. If this is the case, it's a straightforward M&A job and they will have already identified the likely buyers and approaches would have been made - which is stage 1 of any process.
Bearing in mind all previous statements from CGP, Sangha and latterly DGR, it's my view the team know exactly what they're aiming for and the SR is a smoke screen. I also believe this is the reason for DC's departure. He wanted a genuine review which looked at all options, but the new management backed by CGP/Sangha/NM, told him what was going to happen and he didn't like it. He cleared the family photos from his desk and that was that. (btw, will someone please ask Twigger at the agm whether DC has kept his options?)
We have 12 days to the agm - will we have any significant news before then? In my view, the only announcement will concern the Chinese and a few subsequent holdings announcements, but the revelation of the voting will be fascinating.
Interesting times, chaps.