Dividing lines1 Dec 2023 10:00
This board has always been fractious, but it's interesting to note how people who, broadly speaking, have been on the same side are now opposed to each other.
One group believes it understands the strategy Caldwell is pursuing and is prepared to support him, the other doesn't. This is not a criticism because I think it reflects on the corporate communications which leaves so much open to interpretation.
Those who support him feel he's taking logical steps to enhance the value of Cascabel and recognise this is not a quick process. The alternative view is that he's wasting time and shouldn't be allowed to continue in-post. The reason for our disagreement is that he hasn't made a crystal clear comment that he intends to sell either Cascabel, or the whole company, and he hasn't given us an unambiguous update on progress. But the fact remains that both sides on here want the same thing - to sell the asset, and yet we are at each other's throats.
So should he issue a clear notice of intent? From a traditional corporate finance point of view, probably not; the thinking being you don't want to reveal your hand in any negotiation. The counter-argument is that everyone away from this board already knows it's for sale, so an announcement is superfluous.
I'm of the opinion he probably should make a statement, but I wonder how the government would react, and if the company has judged it wouldn't be a good idea, we should respect their decision as they know what's going on and we don't.
So, it all comes down to communication and I can see how Caldwell, who I have no doubt is acting in our best interests, has decided it's not appropriate to come clean just yet. Everyone is free to vote as they wish, but I'd urge some careful thinking as it could lead to some very nasty consequences.