Absolute sitting duck at this time and this level25 Feb 2025 20:16
My take on it:
It certainly looks like TT Electronics is shaping up as a prime takeover target. The reiteration of profit guidance and adjustments has removed a layer of uncertainty, making it easier for potential suitors to sharpen their bids. The initial price weakness could have been algorithmic or knee-jerk selling, but the quick rebound suggests underlying accumulation—likely from institutional investors or a suitor reloading their position.
Likely Bidding Dynamics - Siemens or TE USA at130p – This aligns with prior offers (135p, 160p) and would be a credible opening bid, testing institutional sentiment.
Volex reloading – Their earlier bid at around 75% premium was rebuffed, but with TT Electronics now in play, they may circle back—especially if TE USA or Siemens or others move first.
Market has clarity – The previous excuse that TT’s BoD was unwilling to engage is now irrelevant. Everyone sees the numbers, and TT remains strategically attractive.
Given its blue-chip client base, diversified global contracts, and presence in mission-critical sectors (defense, medical, industrial), TT is an obvious target. If multiple bidders emerge, this could escalate quickly. I wouldn’t be surprised if a formal bid lands before the delayed March 4th results, catching the market off guard.