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LIVE MARKETS-Trick or treat: How to play Brexit?

Wed, 16th Oct 2019 09:51

* European stocks retreat after hitting one-year highs on Tuesday
* STOXX 600 -0.3%, FTSE 100 -0.3%, FTSE 250 -0.8%
* Tug of war between UK exporters and domestic stocks as last-ditch Brexit talks continue
* Roche gains, ASML down after results

Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters
stocks reporters and anchored today by Joice Alves. Reach her on Messenger to share your
thoughts on market moves: rm://joice.alves.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net

TRICK OR TREAT: HOW TO PLAY BREXIT? (0851 GMT)
There are headlines flying from left, right and centre on B-R-E-X-I-T and as we fast
approach Halloween, also the deadline for the UK to exit EU, here's how Liberum recommends you
to play the Brexit game:
** Treat: deal
Sterling rallies and domestic stocks explode - much like last Friday and yesterday when
positive noise fuelled big gains. Within domestics, Liberum recommends buying companies with
more than 50% exposure to the UK, trades at a significant discount to the last five years and
has EPS growth expectations of over 5%.
Premier Oil, IP Group, Drax, Clipper Logistics, Speedy Hire
, Tesco, among others, meet those criteria.
** Trick: no deal
Sterling slumps and stocks with international exposure soar - much like the moves we saw
after the Brexit referendum. Companies with more than 40% exposure to international markets,
12-month forward price to earnings ratio well below 5-year average and has EPS growth
expectations of over 5% are likely to be your natural picks.
Balfour Beatty, Pagegroup, Sophos, Ashtead and B&Q-owner
Kingfisher are some of the names making it to the 'trick' list.
Good luck with your trades!

(Thyagaraju Adinarayan)
*****

YOU DON'T WANT TO FIND YOURSELF UNDEREXPOSED TO ANY BREXIT DEAL, DO YOU? (0826 GMT)
Fair enough, caution and uncertainty have stepped back in after yesterday's bust of optimism
over a possible Brexit breakthrough, but still there is a sense that being too underexposed to
assets that could benefit from a deal may not be too wise.
Take Barclays strategists, who have just closed their long-held overweight on UK exporters,
advising clients to rotate into domestic plays.
"While headline risks remain elevated on both fronts (Brexit and trade), we think it is
prudent to cut some of our defensive hedges and add to UK domestics," they said.
"In the case of a Brexit deal, banks, housebuilders, retail, travel & leisure and real
estate could benefit the most," they add.
The chart below shows how London-listed companies that make their cash at home, some of the
world's most unloved stocks in recent years, have outperformed their exporter peers and the FTSE
100 over the past week amid fresh optimism about Brexit.


(Danilo Masoni)
*****

OPENING SNAPSHOT: EUROPE ON BACKFOOT AMID BREXIT JITTERS (0744 GMT)
European shares have opened on the backfoot which may not be surprising given the euro-zone
benchmark hit more than one-year highs yesterday after the late rally fuelled by fresh
Brexit optimism.
There are some signs of resilience though as Roche helps lift healthcare stocks and
exporters on London's blue chips benefit from the weaker sterling.
On the other hand, UK domestic stocks - housebuilders, retailers and banks - are among the
biggest fallers on the pan-European STOXX 600 index, hit by a sharp retreat of the
pound with investors on tenterhooks for a potential Brexit deal.
The STOXX 600 the euro zone index are both 0.3% lower.
Roche's 1% gain to near five-year highs is helping lift the healthcare index, one of
only three sectors in positive territory.
ASML is down 1% and among the top fallers on Europe's blue-chip index
as investors lock in profits after its better-than-expected results.
Among other individual movers, Signify is leading the charge higher, up 2.7%
after the lighting company agreed to buy Cooper Lighting in the United States for $1.4 billion
in a bid to grow its footprint in the North American market.

(Joice Alves and Josephine Mason)
*****


ON OUR RADAR: ASOS, CHIPS AND BREXIT (0701 GMT)
European stocks may take a bit of a breather after their late afternoon flurry yesterday
amid hopes of a Brexit deal, although markets are likely to be volatile as investors brace for
headlines on how negotiations are faring.
London stock futures are down 0.2%, dragged lower by the positive sterling, although
any positive news on Brexit is likely to push up domestic stocks from housebuilders to banks and
may offset gains among exporters.
Other major futures are mixed, with the Eurostoxx 50 down 0.1% but off earlier
lows.
Some better-than-expected results may provide some cheer as investors digest latest
forecasts that point to a deepening corporate recession in the region as Q3 kicks into gear next
week.
Swiss drugmaker Roche boosted its 2019 sales outlook for a third time, helped by
rising Chinese revenue, and said it expects to finish its $4.3 billion takeover of Spark
Therapeutics this year despite repeated delays. Its shares are indicated to open up
almost 2%.
Chipmakers may also get a boost from better-than-expected results from semiconductor
equipment maker ASML which saw solid demand for 5G telecom network and artificial
intelligence applications.
Indications are mixed for the ASML stock though, with some traders expecting profit taking
after shares hit all-time highs yesterday.
In UK retail, ASOS has delivered a set of in-line results and said it's made some
headway with resolving its warehousing issues. Dealers see the shares in the AIM-listed stock
higher.

Key headlines:
Royal Mail union votes overwhelmingly in favour of a nationwide strike
Wacker Chemie Lowers Guidance For 2019
Atlantia gives conditional green light to investment in Alitalia
ASML posts better-than-expected Q3 profit, sees strong bookings
Italy's Gavio says open to investing in Autostrade per l'Italia
Roche boosts 2019 sales outlook, sees Spark deal this year
TomTom Q3 core earnings beat analyst expectations
Rio Tinto quarterly iron ore shipments rise 5% on China demand
Signify to buy Cooper Lighting from Eaton for $1.4 bln
Sunrise shareholder Canada Pension Plan Investment Board backs $2.8 bln capital hike

New Swiss A220 jet engine failure forces checks
CEO of Britain's Next sells shares worth more than 10 mln stg
Britain's ASOS profits slump 68% on warehouse problems
Secure Trust Bank sees loan demand slow ahead of Brexit
CEO of Britain's Next sells shares worth more than 10 mln stg
BRIEF-Housebuilder Barratt Sells More Homes In 15-Week Period, Order Book Healthy

BRIEF-Nanoco FY Rev More Than Doubles, Loss After Tax Narrows
BRIEF-Russia's Polymetal secures $500 mln loan from Sberbank

(Joice Alves)
*****

BREXIT DEAL HOPES BACK ON (0537 GMT)
Investors have gotten used to headline watching around the U.S.-China trade talks. Since
last Friday they've been glued to their screens for any crumb of detail from Britain's
last-ditch Brexit talks with Brussels.
That's not going to change today, although European stocks may take a bit of a breather this
morning following their late afternoon rally yesterday to near three-month highs after a report
that the two sides were close to a deal renewed hopes that a long-waited agreement may be sealed
this week.
Officials and diplomats involved in negotiations over the divorce said that differences over
the terms of the split had narrowed significantly.
But a lot can still go wrong ahead of a make-or-break EU summit on Thursday and Friday.
Concerns about continued political unrest in Hong Kong and the U.S.-China trade spat will
also weigh. Euro zone inflation data will also be released today at 0900 GMT, but really Brexit
concerns will monopolise investors' attention.
CMC expect London's FTSE to open 18 points lower at 7,193, Frankfurt's DAX to open 21 points
lower at 12,608, and Paris' CAC to open 11 points lower at 5,691.
London's blue chips may suffer from the stronger pound, although as seen yesterday a surge
in domestic stocks from housebuilders to banks offset the gains to see the index close flat.

(Joice Alves)
*****



(Reporting by Danilo Masoni, Joice Alves, Josephine Mason, Julien Ponthus and Thyagaraju
Adinarayan)

More News
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(Alliance News) - Stocks in London closed firmly in the red on Thursday after the Bank of England surprised with a chunkier-than-expected 50 basis point interest rate hike.

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22 Jun 2023 11:55

Speedy Hire annual profit down following asset-write off; appoints CFO

(Alliance News) - Speedy Hire PLC on Thursday said that its yearly profits had collapsed following a significant asset-write off, and announced the appointment of a permanent chief financial officer.

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22 Jun 2023 08:18

Speedy Hire revenue surges as it watches macro conditions

(Sharecast News) - Tools and equipment specialist Speedy Hire reported a significant increase in statutory revenue in its full-year results on Thursday, up 13.9% to £440.6m.

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15 Jun 2023 15:50

UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days

Friday 16 June 
Peel Hunt LtdFull Year Results
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S-Ventures PLCFull Year Results
Tesco PLCTrading Statement
Monday 19 June 
Finsbury Food Group PLCTrading Statement
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Wednesday 21 June 
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Thursday 22 June 
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DS Smith PLCFull Year Results
First Property Group PLCFull Year Results
Manolete Partners PLCFull Year Results
Mulberry Group PLCFull Year Results
NCC Group PLCTrading Statement
Serco Group PLCTrading Statement
Speedy Hire PLCFull Year Results
Urban Logistics REIT PLCFull Year Results
Volex PLCFull Year Results
Whitbread PLCTrading Statement
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30 May 2023 15:45

UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days

Wednesday 31 May 
B&M European Value Retail SAFull Year Results
Bakkavor Group PLCTrading Statement
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DP Eurasia NVTrading Statement
Impax Asset Management Group PLCHalf Year Results
Ithaca Energy PLCQ1 Results
NWF Group PLCTrading Statement
Premier Miton Group PLCHalf Year Results
Tern PLCFull Year Results
WH Smith PLCTrading Statement
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Auto Trader Group PLCFull Year Results
Dr Martens PLCFull Year Results
Pennon Group PLCFull Year Results
Trinity Exploration & Production PLCFull Year Results
Friday 2 June 
TR Property Investment Trust PLCFull Year Results
Monday 5 June 
Celadon Pharmaceuticals PLCFull Year Results
Hercules Site Services PLCHalf Year Results
Itaconix PLCFull Year Results
Sirius Real Estate LtdFull Year Results
ValiRx PLCFull Year Results
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British American Tobacco PLCTrading Statement
Chemring Group PLCHalf Year Results
Ferguson PLCQ3 Results
Gooch & Housego PLCHalf Year Results
Jadestone Energy PLCFull Year Results
N Brown Group PLCFull Year Results
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Oxford Metrics PLCHalf Year Results
Paragon Banking Group PLCHalf Year Results
Speedy Hire PLCFull Year Results
Warehouse REIT PLCFull Year Results
  
Copyright 2023 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

Read more
18 May 2023 17:54

Speedy Hire bolsters financial controls to improve asset accounting

Speedy Hire PLC - Merseyside-based tools hire services firm - Updates on actions taken by the company following previously announced discovery of a deficiency in the value of non-itemised assets of around GBP20.4 million. Assets include equipment without a unique serial identifier such as scaffolding towers, fencing and non-mechanical plant.

Read more
18 May 2023 12:27

Speedy Hire says no fraud in £20m 'missing' equipment mystery

(Sharecast News) - UK tools and equipment company Speedy Hire said a probe into £20m of missing equipment found no evidence of fraud, but discovered problems with control and accounting procedures.

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5 Apr 2023 12:19

IN BRIEF: Speedy Hire expects annual profit to be in line with guidance

Speedy Hire PLC - Merseyside-based tools hire services firm - Expects to report pretax profit for the year ended March 31 in line with the board's expectations. Also expects revenue to be up about 14% annually. In financial 2022, revenue was GBP386.8 million, and pretax profit was GBP29.1 million. However, Speedy Hire warns that there has been "some" softening of demand in recent weeks. Also notes that its external investigation into the issue identified with non-itemised assets, including a review of controls and accounting procedures, continues to progress. Expects to report net debt at the year end of less than £94m.

Read more
5 Apr 2023 10:32

SMALL-CAP WINNERS & LOSERS: Topps Tiles hails record half; Lookers up

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5 Apr 2023 08:01

Speedy Hire FY revenues rise, warns of 'softening' demand

(Sharecast News) - Tools and equipment hire group Speedy Hire said on Wednesday that full-year revenues had risen but cautioned that it had seen some "softening of demand" over recent weeks.

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9 Feb 2023 10:30

SMALL-CAP WINNERS & LOSERS: On the Beach on the up after upgrade

(Alliance News) - The following stocks are the leading risers and fallers among London Main Market small-caps on Thursday.

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8 Feb 2023 17:01

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Powell comments, hope for UK economy lift stocks

(Alliance News) - Stocks in London were higher at the close on Wednesday, with sentiment buoyed by a steady message from US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and indications that the UK may narrowly avoid a recession.

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8 Feb 2023 10:38

Speedy Hire shares fall amid value deficiency, depot reduction costs

(Alliance News) - Speedy Hire PLC on Wednesday announced that it is performing well in its second half of its financial year 2023 ending March 31, but reported a deficiency in the value of assets and a reduction in depots.

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8 Feb 2023 10:20

SMALL-CAP WINNERS & LOSERS: Speedy Hire finds GBP20 million shortfall

(Alliance News) - The following stocks are the leading risers and fallers among London Main Market small-caps on Wednesday.

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8 Feb 2023 07:10

Speedy Hire launches investigation into uncovering £20m deficiency

(Sharecast News) - Tools and equipment hire services company Speedy Hire has launched an investigation after uncovering a deficiency in the net book value of its hire equipment.

Read more

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