Roundtable Discussion; The Future of Mineral Sands. Watch the video here.

Less Ads, More Data, More Tools Register for FREE

Pin to quick picksRDSA.L Share News (RDSA)

  • There is currently no data for RDSA

Watchlists are a member only feature

Login to your account

Alerts are a premium feature

Login to your account

LIVE MARKETS-Unreliable boyfriend's adieu drags British stocks down

Thu, 30th Jan 2020 12:48

* European shares slide on China virus worries

* Big earnings day in Europe

* Bank of England keeps rates steady

* Futures point to lower Wall Street open
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters
stocks reporters and anchored today by Danilo Masoni. Reach him on Messenger to share your
thoughts on market moves: danilo.masoni.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net

UNRELIABLE BOYFRIEND'S ADIEU DRAGS BRITISH STOCKS DOWN (1248 GMT)

BoE's departing Mark Carney earned his 'unreliable boyfriend' nickname by failing to
smoothly guide investors towards his rate decisions.

With the market completely split on today's move, Carney was bound, one way of the other,
to disappoint.

That sure did happen on the equity side when rates remained on hold.

Both the FTSE 100 and the FTSE 250 suffered.

Blue chips had a knee-jerk reaction to the surging pound and fell to session lows while mid
caps also fell to their lowest level of the day, missing out on the monetary boost.

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

MEANWHILE, VALUE STOCKS KEEP ON LOSING GROUND (1136 GMT)

Another sign that investors are not quite ready to turn bearish is how value stocks keep on
underperforming.

"Global value stocks now stand at a record low versus their growth counterparts, having
underperformed for the whole of last year and into this year", UBS analysts write in their daily
House View.

While value stocks are typical safe havens when things turn sour, the fact they are so out
of style might be trying to tell us something.

Anyhow, UBS believes the right way forward for a sluggish economy and 'lower-for-long'
monetary policies is to go for high-quality and high-dividend.

"The former tends to perform better than the overall market when the economy grows below
trend or slows down, while the latter is a key investment strategy when rates are low".

Here's value in the last two years:

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

UTILITIES: FLYING LIKE A FANG (1103 GMT)

Utilities aren't the sexiest industry on the market but over the last month or so they had
returns similar to the high-flying FANGs on Wall Street, if not even higher.

Surely, worries over economic growth are pushing investors into old-fashioned bond proxies
but perhaps there more into it, as climate change fosters huge transformations in the industry
and reshapes the whole economy.

Utilities are the only sector rising this morning in Europe, and their year-to-date
rally means that over the last 2 years they are outperforming the NYSE FANG+, an index
that gives exposure to highly-traded growth tech stocks.

This month Goldman Sachs said the EU's plan to reach net zero carbon emissions by 2050 could
fuel 7 trillion euros of investments with utilities accounting for nearly half of that.

GS sees a possible strong rerating for the firms it defines as a "Climate Champion" (Orsted
, RWE, EDP Enel, EDPR, and IBE).

According to Barclays, utilities exposure moved up noticeably in the last couple of months
with funds overweight the sector reaching the highest in five years, at 31%.

Watch this space!

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

MARKETS HAVE NO CLUE ON TODAY'S BOE RATE DECISION (1024 GMT)

A little less than two hours ahead of the BoE's rate decision, investors are still
completely and almost perfectly divided about the outcome.

That's right it's really a 50/50 flip-the-coin thing.

"I can’t recall the last time we have gone into a BoE monetary policy decision with the
market as divided on what the outcome will be", wrote Derek Halpenny in MUFG Bank's FX Daily
Snapshot note.

"This is certainly not akin to the way in which either the Fed or the ECB like to go into a
monetary policy decision", he also said.

What could this rare situation mean as to the decision that will be taken?

"It does suggest that the lack of attempt to shift the market one way or the other reflects
the fact that the MPC is truly divided on this and we may well therefore see a split decision
today on either a vote to cut or remain on hold", Derek Halpenny argued.

(Julien Ponthus and Tommy Reggiori Wilkes)

*****

CHERRY ON THE CAKE: THE YIELD CURVE INVERTED...AGAIN! (0850 GMT)

There's like a perfect storm brewing between disappointing Q4 earnings and the coronavirus
scare spooking markets, but it wouldn't be complete without a touch of macro gloom.

The mighty U.S. recession omen, the yield curve, has inverted again this morning.

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fell to 1.55% their lowest levels since early
October and were below yields on the three-month benchmark notes.

10-year and 3-month yields are currently dancing a tango-like dance, inverting in and out
and playing with investors nerves.

While an inverted yield curve is usually seen as an advanced indicator of a looming
recession, there's a case it may actually tell us more about the fear investors bestow on the
virus rather than the health of the U.S. economy.

Anyhow, there's no way to look at the inversion as a good thing is there?

(Dhara Ranasinghe and Julien Ponthus)

*****

OPENING SNAPSHOT: A SEA OF RED (0821 GMT)

There's little to say about today's open except that it's a sea of red!

Coronavirus fears are back to haut investors and Q4 results are failing to provide any
meaningful support, quite the opposite!

All indexes and sub-sectors are trading in negative territory with the pan-regional STOXX
600 benchmark falling nearly 1%. 91% of the index's constituents are lower.

Here's your opening snapshot

Among the few winners are fashion retailer Stockholm-listed H&M and Volvo
following strong updates, while in Helsinki Nokian is in demand on reports
of activist investor Elliot building a stake in the tyremaker.

Shell, Swatch and Roche are all down after their updates.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

ON OUR RADAR: DEUTSCHE BANK, TECH, WATCHMAKERS AND AUTOS (0754 GMT)

There was no Fed change overnight to counter concerns over damage from the spreading new
China virus and after a two-day bounce European shares are set to resume their slide from record
levels. Futures were around -1%.

More Q4 earnings will also be on the radar and Deutsche Bank posting a
larger-than-expected annual loss, its fifth in a row as Germany's top bank undergoes a costly
overhaul, isn't exactly a good start to the day.

Its shares were down more than 4% in early trade. That further dampens hopes the battered
rate-sensitive sector could stage a recovery this year as its cheap valuation offsets continued
pressure from negative rates.

A mixed earnings showing from the seemingly unstoppable Wall Street winners overnight isn't
going to help the mood. Facebook shares fell 7% in extended trading as quarterly revenue
growth slowed to 25%, its slowest rate ever, in what could weigh on European tech, but Tesla
rose 13% after the electric carmaker posted another quarterly profit and brokers
scrambled to make big target increases. Also Microsoft beat expectations.

Back to Europe, Swatch results are going to be a big dampener for the luxury sector,
whose big exposure to China has made it particularly vulnerable the coronavirus scare and the
Hong Kong unrest.

The world's No.1 watchmaker said expects sales to fall further in Hong Kong. Its shares were
seen opening down 4-5% and drag lower rival Richemont.

Supportive news instead for the automotive sector -- the worst performer year to date amid
worries over slowing growth and higher U.S. tariffs. Volvo delivered strong results
and payout plan and reports said activist investor Elliot has built a stake in tyremaker Nokian
. Their shares are both seen rising more than 3% at the open.

Eyes also on Unilever after a slightly better-than-expected rise in quarterly
sales, and Royal Dutch Shell's following a bigger-than-expected 50% drop in Q4 profit.

Other stock movers: Roche 2019 net profit rises by a third, forecasts 2020 growth;
Diageo reports marginal rise in first-half profit; BT misses third quarter
forecast; H&M delivers first annual profit rise since 2015; Siemens Gamesa
cuts profitability target for second time in 3 months

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

MORNING CALL: DOWN WE GO AGAIN (0636 GMT)

There was no Fed surprise overnight to counter worries over the spreading
coronavirus outbreak and with a rising death toll and new cases outside China, equities in
Europe look set to track Asian shares lower today, snapping a two-day bounce.

Spreadbetters at IG expect London's FTSE to open 41 points lower at 7,483, Frankfurt's DAX
to open 103 points further down at 13,345 and Paris' CAC to open 44 points lower at 5,954.

More Q4 earnings will also be under the spotlight and Deutsche Bank posting a
larger-than-expected loss isn't exactly the best way to start the day with.

A knife-edge BoE decision could also have an impact later on with investors split over the
chance that the central bank will cut rates for the first time in more than 3 years, just on the
day before the UK leaves the EU.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

(Reporting by Danilo Masoni, Joice Alves, Julien Ponthus and Thyagaraju Adinarayan)

More News
30 Dec 2021 09:28

UPDATE 2-FTSE 100 edges down as COVID fears dull festive cheer

(For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock markets, click LIVE/ or type LIVE/ in a news window)* Industrial stocks eye best performance in 23 years* Travel and leisure hit by Omicron fears* Ashtead the top YTD performer on FTSE 100* UK ...

Read more
30 Dec 2021 05:33

UPDATE 5-Oil prices rise slightly ahead of OPEC+ meeting next week

* U.S. crude, fuel stocks fell last week; output rises -EIA* Saudi king says OPEC+ pact 'essential' for oil market stability (New throughout, updates prices, market activity and comments to settlement, adds OPEC+ meeting details and PSM details)By...

Read more
28 Dec 2021 09:41

S.African court halts Shell's offshore seismic survey

CAPE TOWN, Dec 28 (Reuters) - A South African high court on Tuesday blocked Shell from conducting seismic testing offshore from South Africa's pristine Wild Coast, in the latest ruling in a case seeking to prevent the oil major from exploring for...

Read more
27 Dec 2021 14:01

Mexican president says Pemex to close Deer Park deal in January

MEXICO CITY, Dec 27 (Reuters) - Mexican state oil company Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) will complete its purchase of a controlling interest in a Texas oil refinery in January, Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said on Monday.Mexico's go...

Read more
24 Dec 2021 10:03

UPDATE 1-Russia says Europe missing out on gas with Nord Stream 2 delay

(Recasts, adds quote, background)MOSCOW, Dec 24 (Reuters) - Europe, struggling with soaring gas prices, is missing out on additional Russian supplies amid delays to the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, a top Russian official signalled on Friday.Deputy Prim...

Read more
24 Dec 2021 08:26

Russia's Novak: Nord Stream 2 hindered by politics

MOSCOW, Dec 24 (Reuters) - The launch of the Nord Stream 2 natural gas pipeline is being hindered by politics, but Russia still hopes its certification will be completed by mid-2022, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Friday.The...

Read more
24 Dec 2021 08:19

Russia says Nord Stream 2 a bargaining chip for U.S., EU, Interfax reports

MOSCOW, Dec 24 (Reuters) - The Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline project linking Russia with Europe has become a bargaining chip in a game played by the United States and the European Union, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said on Friday, ...

Read more
23 Dec 2021 14:14

Third Point's Loeb slams activists after UK fund chairman quits

LONDON, Dec 23 (Reuters) - Hedge fund Third Point's boss Dan Loeb on Thursday blamed the departure of the chairman of the firm's London-listed fund on "inexperienced" and "juvenile antics" of activist investors.Third Point Investors Limited (TPIL)...

Read more
22 Dec 2021 20:56

Shell declares force majeure on Nigerian Forcados crude

LAGOS, Dec 22 (Reuters) - Royal Dutch Shell's Nigerian subsidiary SPDC has declared force majeure on exports of Nigerian Forcados crude oil after the obstruction of a tanker path by a malfunctioning barge, the company said in a statement.The actio...

Read more
22 Dec 2021 13:49

UPDATE 3-Mexico says U.S. approves Deer Park refinery deal, sees completion early 2022

(Adds details)MEXICO CITY, Dec 22 (Reuters) - The U.S. government has authorized the purchase by Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) of Royal Dutch Shell's controlling interest in a Texas oil refinery in a transaction that should conclude early next year,...

Read more
22 Dec 2021 13:49

UPDATE 2-Mexico says U.S. government approves Deer Park refinery deal

(Adds context, comment from Pemex CEO)MEXICO CITY, Dec 22 (Reuters) - The U.S. government has authorized the purchase by Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) of Royal Dutch Shell's controlling interest in a Texas oil refinery, Mexican President Andres Manu...

Read more
22 Dec 2021 13:49

UPDATE 1-Mexico says U.S. government approves Deer Park refinery deal

(Adds details)MEXICO CITY, Dec 22 (Reuters) - The U.S. government has authorized the purchase by Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) of Royal Dutch Shell's controlling interest in a Texas oil refinery, Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said on...

Read more
22 Dec 2021 13:15

Mexico says U.S. government approves Deer Park refinery deal

MEXICO CITY, Dec 22 (Reuters) - The U.S. government has authorized the purchase by Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) of Royal Dutch Shell's controlling interest in a Texas oil refinery, Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said on Wednesday.Lo...

Read more
21 Dec 2021 19:06

UPDATE 1-Texas lawsuit by laundromat owners seeks to block Shell refinery sale to Pemex

(Adds U.S. Treasury, CFIUS decline to comment)By Stefanie Eschenbacher and Gary McWilliamsMEXICO CITY/HOUSTON, Dec 21 (Reuters) - A pair of New York businessmen filed a lawsuit in a U.S. court seeking to block Mexico's state oil company Petroleos M...

Read more
21 Dec 2021 18:32

Texas lawsuit by laundromat owners seeks to block Shell refinery sale to Pemex

By Stefanie EschenbacherMEXICO CITY/HOUSTON, Dec 21 (Reuters) - A pair of New York businessmen filed a lawsuit in a U.S. court seeking to block Mexico's state oil company Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) from taking control of a Texas refinery, claimin...

Read more

Login to your account

Don't have an account? Click here to register.

Quickpicks are a member only feature

Login to your account

Don't have an account? Click here to register.