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Just Eat delivers tasty numbers, but CEO dismounts

Mon, 21st Jan 2019 07:08

(Sharecast News) - Just Eat said profits for the past year were ahead of forecasts but and are likely to accelerate in the coming year, but that chief executive Peter Plumb has left the online takeaway food marketplace a little over a year after he started.The FTSE 250 company, which Plumb joined after nine years as boss of Moneysupermarket in September 2017, said chief customer officer Peter Duffy would step in as interim CEO with immediate effect and that the search for a permanent replacement has begun.After a year in which the company integrated new acquisitions and launched delivery services in several of its markets, it said full year orders for 2018 had grown 28% to 221m, leading to revenue growth of 43% to roughly £780m and underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation up 5-6% to a range of £172-174m. The average forecast from across the City's analysts was for revenue of £775m and underlying EBITDA of £168m.For 2019, Just Eat plans to "leverage the improvements we have made in our marketplace business to drive order and revenue growth, while we now also expect to grow marketplace EBITDA margins year on year", with 2016 Canadian acquisition SkipTheDishes, the first of the online takeaway ordering businesses to also include delivery services, expected to report its first full year profit.The board, now excluding Plumb, said it will invest the increased profit to accelerate the delivery initiatives "along the pathway towards profitability", principally in the UK and Australia, with delivery services continuing to be rolled out in certain areas."We will leverage the improvements we have made in our marketplace business to drive order and revenue growth, while we now also expect to grow marketplace EBITDA margins year on year," the company said.Early guidance for the coming full year was for revenue growth of at least 28% to £1-1.1bn and growth of underlying EBITDA of 6-19% to £185-205m. Analysts had pencilled in revenue growth of £995m with underlying EBITDA of £204m.The earnings target excludes the operations in Mexico and Brazil, which are managed by joint venture partner iFood, in which Just Eat has a 33% stake, and will be excluded from this figure from 2019 onwards, the company said. The JV is now expected to make EBITDA losses of £80-100m under its new strategy, which analysts suggested implied a major shift and the addition of delivery services.Plumb, who had clashed with investors last year over his plans to increase investment in growth, said: "The business is in good health, and now is the right time for me to step aside and make way for a new leader for the next exciting wave of growth."Chairman Mike Evans thanked Plumb "for setting Just Eat on a new course which better places it to address a much larger and rapidly expanding market" and said Duffy and the senior leadership team "will continue to drive the execution of our strategy, which has the full backing of the board".In December, 2% shareholder Cat Rock, a US-based small hedge fund, called for the board to produce a new three-year plan where management pay would be linked to growth in profit rather than revenue, or else look at alternatives such as selling the stake iFood to recoup up to £650m.MARKET REACTION & ANALYSISJust Eat shares, having tripled since listing in 2014 to an all-time high above 900p early last year, catapulting the company temporarily into the FTSE 100, lost more than a third of their value late last summer amid fears over the level of investment the company was making in the business and resulting profit margins, together with the threat from deep-pocketed rivals Uber Eats and Deliveroo.Investors seemed spooked by Plumb's £50m investment plan to fund the group's move to offer restaurants a delivery service as well as an online marketplace for their takeaway food.Analyst Ian Whittaker at broker Liberum said the departure of Plumb might be taken well by investors as he "was slightly divisive - we thought he had the right strategy, others didn't and the recent letter from 2% shareholder Cat Rock showed the level of dissatisfaction".Whittaker also said the committment to raising EBITDA margins from 2019 onwards was one of Cat Rock's calls and should be taken well by shareholders generally, while the 2019 revenue performance is much better than expected and the deconsolidation of iFood from numbers "will raise hopes Just Eat will sells its stake to a strategic buyer who would focus on iFood's market potential not the EBITDA losses".Guidance for the iFood JV to make EBITDA losses of £80-100m under its new strategy, given Liberum had expected a profit, "suggests a major shift (we think more towards delivery)".James Lockyer at Peel Hunt, who has a 'sell' on the shares, focused on the point that although marketplace margins are now likely to increase in FY19 rather than being flat, guidance for EBITDA implies stronger investment in delivery is likely and that he will have to cut his current estimate of £223.2m by around 13%.RBC Capital Markets was reassured by the 2019 guidance. "Just Eat's investment in delivery services will drive significant revenue upside and accordingly higher long-term profits and returns, despite a reduced margin outlook. Amidst an increasingly competitive landscape, we believe JustEat is well positioned owing to its market leading positions and strong customer loyalty."Meanwhile, Just Eat continues to trade at a 20% discount to global internet takeaway peers despite historically trading above."
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28 Oct 2019 18:15

UPDATE: Prosus Happy To Discuss Merits Of Just Eat Takeover Bid

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28 Oct 2019 11:38

Takeaway.com urges Delivery Hero not to vote on Just Eat deal

(Sharecast News) - Dutch online food delivery company Takeaway.com said on Monday that shareholder Delivery Hero must abstain from voting on its £4.9bn acquisition of Just Eat due to a conflict of interest.

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28 Oct 2019 10:25

Takeaway.com Calls On Delivery Hero To Abstain From Just Eat Vote

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24 Oct 2019 13:38

Thursday broker round-up

(Sharecast News) - Reckitt Benckiser: UBS downgrades to neutral with a target price of 6,200p.

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23 Oct 2019 18:28

Third Just Eat Shareholder Rejects Prosus Bid For Food Delivery Firm

Third Just Eat Shareholder Rejects Prosus Bid For Food Delivery Firm

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23 Oct 2019 08:54

Takeaway.com Reaffirms Confidence In Just Eat Merger After Prosus Snub

Takeaway.com Reaffirms Confidence In Just Eat Merger After Prosus Snub

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22 Oct 2019 13:26

Tuesday broker round up

(Sharecast News) - Sabre Insurance Group: Peel Hunt downgrades to add with a target price of 295p.

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22 Oct 2019 10:24

UPDATE: Just Eat Rebuffs Prosus, Urges Stick With Takeaway.com Merger

UPDATE: Just Eat Rebuffs Prosus, Urges Stick With Takeaway.com Merger

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22 Oct 2019 09:23

TOP NEWS: Naspers's Prosus Wades Into Just Eat Merger With Cash Offer

TOP NEWS: Naspers's Prosus Wades Into Just Eat Merger With Cash Offer

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22 Oct 2019 09:17

Just Eat rejects rival takeover offer from Prosus

(Sharecast News) - Online food delivery service Just Eat said on Tuesday that it had rejected an unsolicited £4.9bn cash offer from Prosus as it "significantly undervalues" the company.

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21 Oct 2019 07:07

Just Eat delivers tasty revenue rise as orders drive on

(Sharecast News) - Third quarter revenue at online food delivery service Just Eat grew 25% to £248m despite as the group reaffirmed full year guidance and losses in its Latin American operations.

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6 Sep 2019 16:07

FIL's Holding In Just Eat Now Below 5% After Wednesday Disposal

(Alliance News) - Takeaway food delivery firm Just Eat PLC on Friday said FIL Ltd's stake in the company is now below 5%.Prior to a disposal on Wednesday, Bermunda-based FIL had a 5% in

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3 Sep 2019 17:03

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Pound Rebounds, FTSE Dips As UK PM Loses Majority

(Alliance News) - London stocks ended Tuesday's session on a downbeat note amid further fiery words aimed at China from US President Donald Trump, while the pound managed to claw back its on a

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3 Sep 2019 14:31

Just Eat shareholder Eminence Capital to oppose Takeaway.com deal

(Sharecast News) - Just Eat was under pressure as it emerged that shareholder Eminence Capital, a US asset management firm, intends to vote against its planned £9bn merger with Dutch peer Takeaway.com.

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